GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – December 9, 2017

REVIEW


After breaking out to all-time highs in the beginning of 2017, UK FTSE 100 Index is still looking for direction as the last several-months price action formed a possible bullish continuation chart pattern. 7 month-long sideways consolidation can be identified as a possible ascending triangle with the lower boundary acting as support at 7,300 and the upper boundary as resistance at 7,600 levels. The upward sloping lower boundary and the horizontal upper boundary gives the chart pattern its bullish bias, suggesting buyers are able to bid the price higher at every pullback. Latest correction not only found support at the lower boundary of the possible ascending triangle but also at the long-term 200 day (40 week) moving average. If the support at 7,300 level holds, we can expect a rebound towards 7,600 levels.

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Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel – Thursday, December 14, 11am mountain

Dear Tech Charts Members,

(Register below)

As you all know one of my favorite chart patterns is a rectangle. A rectangle is a chart pattern with horizontal boundaries. I prefer breakouts from chart patterns with horizontal boundaries when compared with breakouts from diagonal chart patterns. Over the past couple of months the Global Equity Markets report has featured great chart setups that I identified as well-defined rectangles.

The upcoming webinar is dedicated to a thorough discussion on this highly reliable chart pattern.

  • We will review some of those chart pattern breakouts that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report.
  • We will look at some of the developing chart pattern breakout opportunities.
  • Most important in this webinar we will highlight Tech Charts members favorite rectangle setups in different equity markets. I would like to discuss and share some of the best classical chart patterns that members identified or those charts that members might have questions about.
  • As usual we will have a member Q&A at the end of the webinar.

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NYSE ARCA GOLD BUGS INDEX

Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed and emerging markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks. This blog post features one of several great chart analysis from the latest Global Equity Markets report.

The XAU is a capitalization-weighted index of thirty precious metal mining companies that has been traded on the Philadelphia Stock Exchange since 1983. As its name suggests it includes both gold and silver mining companies. In order to track gold and silver mining companies performance in an index there are several options available for investors, but the two most watched indices are: the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS (Basket of Unhedged Gold Stocks) Index (called the HUI Index) and Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index (called the XAU Index). Below charts feature the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index and the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – December 2, 2017

REVIEW


The XAU is a capitalization-weighted index of thirty precious metal mining companies that has been traded on the Philadelphia Stock Exchange since 1983. As its name suggests it includes both gold and silver mining companies. In order to track gold and silver mining companies performance in an index there are several options available for investors, but the two most watched indices are: the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS (Basket of Unhedged Gold Stocks) Index (called the HUI Index) and Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index (called the XAU Index). Below charts feature the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index and the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index.

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MSCI DOMESTIC U.S. REAL ESTATE PRICE INDEX

The MSCI Domestic U.S. Real Estate Index and related REIT ETFs are going through a lengthy consolidation. Breakouts from tight and lengthy consolidations are usually followed by strong directional movement. Price index respected the boundaries of the 9 month-long symmetrical triangle. Both boundaries were tested several times over the past months. The upper boundary of the possible symmetrical triangle is acting as resistance at 1,180 levels and the lower boundary as support at 1,140 levels. A decisive breakout above 1,180 levels will confirm the symmetrical triangle as a bullish continuation with a possible chart pattern price target of 1,255 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 25, 2017

REVIEW


The MSCI Domestic U.S. Real Estate Index and related REIT ETFs are going through a lengthy consolidation. Breakouts from tight and lengthy consolidations are usually followed by strong directional movement. Price index respected the boundaries of the 9 month-long symmetrical triangle. Both boundaries were tested several times over the past months. The upper boundary of the possible symmetrical triangle is acting as resistance at 1,180 levels and the lower boundary as support at 1,140 levels. A decisive breakout above 1,180 levels will confirm the symmetrical triangle as a bullish continuation with a possible chart pattern price target of 1,255 levels. Below you can find related ETFs to take advantage of a possible directional movement on the MSCI Domestic US Real Estate Price Index.

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MSCI EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

Emerging Markets equities continue to remain strong. A widely followed benchmark for the Emerging Markets equity performance, MSCI Emerging Markets index resumes its multi-month uptrend in a steady parallel trend channel. Last one month’s short-term consolidation can be identified as a possible flag; a bullish continuation chart pattern. The lower boundary of the flag at 1,100 level will act as a short-term support. Earlier in July 2017, the MSCI Emerging Markets index cleared a decade-long trend line resistance at 1,015 levels as shown on the monthly scale price chart.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 18, 2017

REVIEW


Emerging Markets equities continue to remain strong. A widely followed benchmark for the Emerging Markets equity performance, MSCI Emerging Markets index resumes its multi-month uptrend in a steady parallel trend channel. Last one month’s short-term consolidation can be identified as a possible flag; a bullish continuation chart pattern. The lower boundary of the flag at 1,100 level will act as a short-term support. Earlier in July 2017, the MSCI Emerging Markets index cleared a decade-long trend line resistance at 1,015 levels as shown on the monthly scale price chart.

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CONSUMER DISC. SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND (XLY)

Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) Fund (the Fund) seeks to provide investment results that correspond to the price and yield performance of the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector of the S&P 500 Index (the Index). The Index includes companies from industries, such as automobiles and components, consumer durables, apparel, hotels, restaurants, leisure, media and retailing. The ETF is listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Price chart formed a 5 month-long rectangle with the boundaries acting as resistance at 92.35 and support at 88.15 levels. Both the upper and lower boundary of the rectangle was tested several times. A daily close above 93.25 levels will confirm the breakout from the sideways consolidation with the possible chart pattern price target of 96.6 levels. You can check out the sample video below on bullish rectangle continuation.

Here are some of the sample educational videos you might find valuable.  This sample video explains how to identify rectangles and to calculate possible chart pattern price targets. Tech Charts Educational Videos cover major reversal and continuation chart patterns.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 11, 2017

REVIEW


During established up trends pullback to the long-term averages are considered to be low risk entry points. A widely followed trend indicator is the 200 day moving average. Price action above the 200 day moving average is recognized as an uptrend, while price trading below the 200 day (40 week) average is considered to be a downtrend. In the last quarter of 2016, the Euro Stoxx Banking index breached its long-term average on the upside what was considered to be the beginning of a possible uptrend. Since then, each pullback found support at the long-term moving average, confirming the steady uptrend. Over the past 5 months, the Euro Stoxx Banking index formed a sideways consolidation that can be identified as a symmetrical triangle. Read more