GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – August 19, 2017

REVIEW


The iShare MSCI ACWI ETF is testing a 17 month-long upward trend line. The more a trend line or a support/resistance area is tested the more important it becomes. The long-term trend line has been tested several times. In the beginning of the week, the global equity benchmark ACWI rebounded from the lower boundary of its 7 month-long trend channel but finished at the same level on Friday. A breakdown below 66.3 levels can push the price towards the long-term trend line support at 65.8. Steep trend lines like the one we are seeing on the ACWI, can't extend for a long time. The trend needs adjustment, in other words find another low. (I added an S&P 500 chart below to better explain this point). The real test will be at 65.8 levels. Breakdown below that support can result in a correction towards 63 levels. Next week, I will be monitoring 66.3 and 65.8 levels closely. Important support area is between 65.8 and 66.3. I will issue interim updates if there is a change in the technical outlook.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – August 12, 2017

REVIEW


This week's price action did some technical damage on the charts. MSCI ALL COUNTRY WORLD INDEX ETF, a benchmark for global equity market performance gave back three weeks of gains in one weekly bar. The discussion on the financial networks and social media was about buying the dip. 66.3 is the lower boundary of the 7 month-long trend channel for the ACWI ETF. Failure to hold this support level can push the price to the next support at 65.5, which is the 17 month-long upward trendline. There is no clear chart pattern forming on the MSCI ACWI ETF. For those who are looking for sell signals on the ACWI, the breakdown of the trend channels should give some guidance. In case of further weakness in the global equity markets (a breakdown on the ACWI), this week's report should be helpful in identifying some of the bearish chart setups in the global equities and ETFs.

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INTERIM UPDATE – August 8, 2017

Industrial metals including Copper, Zinc, Nickel and Aluminum are showing strength and strong price action is now reflected on some of the benchmark indices, ETFs and ETNs that track the performance of the industrial metals. Thanks to several Tech Charts members and twitter followers for bringing to my attention the improving outlook in the metals complex.

Bloomberg Commodity indices are some of the benchmarks that I follow. I reviewed some of the chart developments on these indices (discussing several commodity related stocks) back in 2016. Below are some great chart setups that I think might add value to each trader/investors market analysis. Though one should pay close attention to the leverage, liquidity, issuer, counter party risk and many other factors on these OTC or Exchange-listed instruments.

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