Entries by Aksel Kibar

U.S. HOUSING STARTS

U.S. housing starts was down another 9.3 percent in June after declining 7.3 percent in May. Latest figure stands at 893,000. Here is why we should actually pay close attention to 840,000 levels in the following months. Yes, technical analysis can also be applied to economic time series. Anything that is a product of human interaction […]

TAIWAN WEIGHTED INDEX

Taiwan still needs to prove itself. However, sooner or later breakout from this long-term chart pattern will present tremendous opportunity. 24 year-long sideways consolidation might be close to completion. Breakout should be powerful and preferably once confirmed this market shouldn’t look back. There are two more resistance levels that I will be following and these […]

PLATINUM

After a long consolidation period, Platinum might be preparing for a strong breakout. Since the beginning of 2014, Platinum price has been forming higher highs and a horizontal resistance. Strong horizontal resistance area remain between 1,470 and 1,490. Breakout above the resistance area can push prices higher towards 1,550-1,600 range. Another interesting chart development can be seen on […]

GERMANY BUND

Bond prices are rising again. German government bonds are looking strong as Bund futures prepare for a breakout from a 2 year-long consolidation range. Since mid-2012 German Bund has been consolidating between 137 and 147 levels. Prices are now testing the strong resistance at 147 levels for the 4th time. Breakout above 147 can result […]

BRENT CRUDE OIL

While you are reading this post please note that I’m not basing my decision-making and my analysis on the latest developments in middle east. I’ve been analyzing Brent crude and the energy sector for some time. Earlier analysis (May 17, 2014 / Mar 29, 2014 / Mar 3, 2014) suggested a strong directional move that is likely to develop. Low volatility […]

AUD/NZD

I analyzed this pair in April 2014. Cross rate showed significant chart pattern development at a historical support. AUD/NZD is trying to rebound from 3 decade-long support level. 1.05 was tested for five times over the past thirty years. Each test was recorded as medium/long-term low. We are there again… Not only the long-term chart […]

CORN

Is Corn forming a perfect inverted head and shoulder chart pattern? If yes, price should rally from these levels and reach the neckline around 530 levels in the next few weeks and if you see such price action you should be more confident that a year-long base formation is about to complete, suggesting much higher […]

GBP/SGD

Long-term trends can be interrupted by short/medium-term consolidations; in other words “breath-taking” periods. In technical analysis these type of short/medium-term consolidations are classified as flag, pennant, triangle or rectangle chart pattern. Each chart pattern has its own characteristics. Since the beginning of 2013, British pound has been outperforming Singapore dollar. Cross rate formed a clear uptrend. […]

US DOLLAR/KENYAN SHILLING

In 2011, USD/KES (U.S. Dollar/Kenyan Shilling) cross rate experienced a strong breakout to all-time high levels. Breakout from the low volatility period was followed by a sharp rally that pushed the cross rate from 82 levels to 106 levels in less than a year. Central Bank of Kenya reacted by raising the benchmark interest rate […]