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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – October 27, 2018

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REVIEW

The benchmark for Global equity markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) broke down its February lows with a long weekly candle. The ACWI ETF is now clearly below its long-term 200-day moving average. February low at 69.7 levels will become the new strong resistance. Next support area for the ACWI ETF is between 63 and 65. In the short-term the daily chart needs to form some sort of a reversal chart pattern to conclude that the downtrend is over. The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is in a downtrend.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 24, 2018

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REVIEW

Both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF and iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF are headed towards their February lows. Next few weeks will be important as these two Global equity benchmarks will tell us if the 2 year-long uptrend in equities is over or not. Breakdown below long-term averages will also violate the lower boundary of steady upward trend channels. While the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets index has margin towards the strong support area, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index closed the week at the support level. Unless we see a stability above 70 levels, the ETF can correct towards the next support at 63 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 17, 2018

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REVIEW

To summarize the current technical outlook in the Global Equity markets, I would say "range-bound". Global Equity benchmark charts below show the boundaries of the recent consolidations. After the sharp sell-off in the first half of February, global indices are returning back to low volatility conditions. Both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM) are in a long-term uptrend. Both benchmarks are above their long-term averages. Latest consolidations are taking place above strong support areas.

  

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 10, 2018

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REVIEW

A strong weekly close and especially a strong Friday price action is positive for Global equities. However, it is still early to conclude that the short term consolidation is over and we are headed to new all-time highs. I think we are still in the consolidation phase and choppy price action can continue for some time.

The long-term trend is upwards for the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O). The benchmark for Global equity market performance continues to remain above its long-term average. In the short/medium-term, the ETF is in a trading range between the all-time high at 77.55 and 70 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – February 17, 2018

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REVIEW

Global Equity Markets had a strong rebound from their long-term averages. A benchmark for Global equity market performance; the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF rebounded from its 200-day (40 week) average and the lower boundary of its multi-month long upward trend channel. Long-term uptrend remains intact. In the following weeks Global equity indices will possibly continue to consolidate in a range until volatility is back to lower levels. In case of a re-test of last week's lows, both the lower boundary of the uptrend and the long-term average will act as strong support levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 30, 2017

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REVIEW

Uptrend remains intact for the emerging markets index. MSCI Emerging Markets Index cleared decade-long trend resistance at 1,015 levels and continues to trend higher. Strong support remains between 1,000 and 1,015 levels. Last one week's pull back is possibly finding support at the lower boundary of the year-long upward trend channel. Weekly candlestick pattern (hammer) on iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM) is featured in the following chart. Hammer candlestick pattern at support area can signal a bullish reversal.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 27, 2017

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Dear Tech Charts members,

Thank you for joining Tech Charts as Founding Member. I hope to identify many great chart set-ups, trading & investment themes and add value to your decision making process in the years ahead. This week's Global Equity Markets report covers several ETFs from different regions, single stocks from Developed and Emerging countries and equity indices. You will find that some of the themes are longer-term and can offer great opportunity once these chart patterns are resolved on the upside. In this report I also added a section that explains what each label on the charts and section headers stand for. I hope this will make it easier to navigate through the charts.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 20, 2017

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The Russell 2000 Index is the recognized benchmark measuring the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe. The Russell 2000 Index is a subset of the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of that index. It includes 2000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of market cap and current index membership. The index is maintained by FTSE Russell, a subsidiary of the London Stock Exchange Group. The Russell 2000 is by far the most common benchmark for mutual funds that identify themselves as "small-cap", while the S&P 500 index is used primarily for large capitalization stocks.

RUSSELL 2000 INDEX (.RUT)

Since the beginning of 2017, the small-cap segment of the U.S. equities had a volatile price action. The swings on the Russell 2000 index possibly formed a very rare chart pattern called a Broadening Top. Richard W. Schabacker in his book Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits explains the Broadening Top chart pattern as below:

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 29, 2017

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The first round of the 2017 French presidential election was held on 23 April 2017. As no candidate won a majority, a run-off election between the top two candidates, Emmanuel Macron of En Marche! and Marine Le Pen of the National Front (FN), will be held on 7 May 2017. Global equity markets reacted positively after centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron won the first round of the weekend’s French presidential election. European equities have been performing poorly since the beginning of the global financial crash in 2008. Any positive political and economic development is likely to help European equities to catch up in the relative performance. Though, European equities might need more catalyst than an election result to reverse long-term relationships.

Two charts below show the massive under performance of the European equities vs. the U.S. equities over the past 9 years. Both the relative performance ratio between MSCI EUROPE vs. MSCI U.S. and EUROSTOXX 600 Index vs. S&P 500 Index shows a multi-year downtrend. This long-term relationship is something that we should keep a close eye on, as any major turnaround in European indices performance will result in more breakout opportunities in the European equities.

Relative performance ratio between the two indices is converted into an index to better visualize the change in value in percentage terms. 1.00 is an index value of 100. 0.42 is an index value of 42. The chart shows the index losing more than half of its value from the highest level in 2008. In other words MSCI EUROPE underperformed MSCI USA by 58% over the past 9 years. Data used for MSCI EUROPE and MSCI USA are price index in U.S. Dollar.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 29, 2017

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The first round of the 2017 French presidential election was held on 23 April 2017. As no candidate won a majority, a run-off election between the top two candidates, Emmanuel Macron of En Marche! and Marine Le Pen of the National Front (FN), will be held on 7 May 2017. Global equity markets reacted positively after centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron won the first round of the weekend’s French presidential election. European equities have been performing poorly since the beginning of the global financial crash in 2008. Any positive political and economic development is likely to help European equities to catch up in the relative performance. Though, European equities might need more catalyst than an election result to reverse long-term relationships.

Two charts below show the massive under performance of the European equities vs. the U.S. equities over the past 9 years. Both the relative performance ratio between MSCI EUROPE vs. MSCI U.S. and EUROSTOXX 600 Index vs. S&P 500 Index shows a multi-year downtrend. This long-term relationship is something that we should keep a close eye on, as any major turnaround in European indices performance will result in more breakout opportunities in the European equities.

Relative performance ratio between the two indices is converted into an index to better visualize the change in value in percentage terms. 1.00 is an index value of 100. 0.42 is an index value of 42. The chart shows the index losing more than half of its value from the highest level in 2008. In other words MSCI EUROPE underperformed MSCI USA by 58% over the past 9 years. Data used for MSCI EUROPE and MSCI USA are price index in U.S. Dollar.

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