In April 2018, I was invited to share my experiences in charting the Middle East and Africa equity markets at the Dubai Traders Summit. The event was not recorded. I wanted to make this presentation available for our members so I recorded this educational video, featuring parts of the presentation I shared at the event. This section focuses on Rectangle examples. I hope you will find it valuable.
We are seeing a decoupling in terms of performance in the Global Equity Markets. Developed markets continue to remain strong whereas Emerging markets start to weaken. The charts below show both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF in a steady uptrend. However, over the past few weeks, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF managed to rebound from its long-term average but the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF struggled around the strong support area. Failure to recover from strong support area can result in a breakdown and larger scale correction for the Emerging Markets. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF is testing the 200-day (40 week) moving average.
Read More
Global equities experienced renewed strength during the week. Weekly candles on both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF opened at the lowest and closed at the highest point suggesting buyers domination throughout the week. ACWI ETF is breaking out of its 4 month-long tight consolidation. The benchmark for Global equity markets performance has been in a steady uptrend. Recent tight consolidation took place above the long-term average and the lower boundary of its 2 year-long trend channel. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index weighed down by U.S. Dollar strength, still managed to hold on to its 200 day (40 week) average and rebounded from the lower boundary of its 2 year-long uptrend. Both ETFs are in a steady uptrend.
Read More
In April 2018, I was invited to share my experiences in charting the Middle East and Africa equity markets at the Dubai Traders Summit. The event was not recorded. I wanted to make this presentation available for our members so I recorded this educational video, featuring parts of the presentation I shared at the event. This section focuses on H&S bottom examples. I hope you will find it valuable.
Several Tech Charts members asked if the Dubai Traders Seminar presentation will be recorded and made available on Tech Charts website. Unfortunately the seminar was not recorded by the organizer. However, I will make this presentation available to our members via short educational videos in the following days/weeks. Each part of the presentation will address specific chart pattern examples presented in separate videos and will be archived under Educational Videos.
Global equity markets is getting closer to a strong directional movement. Tight consolidations on both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF suggest breakouts can result in a trend period. Consolidations are followed by trends and vice versa. Both ACWI and EEM are trading above their long-term moving averages and inside the boundaries of multi-month long uptrend channels. Breakdown below the long-term averages and the lower boundary of trend channels can result in a larger scale correction. At this point, with the current available information, we can conclude that the long-term uptrend is still intact. We are very close to the completion of last quarter's tight consolidation.
Read More
Doji form when a security's open and close are virtually equal. The length of the upper and lower shadows can vary and the resulting candlestick looks like a cross, inverted cross or plus sign. Alone, doji are neutral patterns. Any bullish or bearish bias is based on preceding price action and future confirmation. Doji convey a sense of indecision or tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Prices move above and below the opening level during the session, but close at or near the opening level. The result is a standoff. The relevance of a doji depends on the preceding trend or preceding candlesticks. After an advance, or long white candlestick, a doji signals that the buying pressure is starting to weaken. After a decline, or long black candlestick, a doji signals that selling pressure is starting to diminish. Doji indicate that the forces of supply and demand are becoming more evenly matched and a change in trend may be near. Doji alone are not enough to mark a reversal and further confirmation may be warranted.
The Hammer and Hanging Man look exactly alike, but have different implications based on the preceding price action. Both have small real bodies (black or white), long lower shadows and short or non-existent upper shadows. As with most single and double candlestick formations, the Hammer and Hanging Man require confirmation before action.
Hammer is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a decline. In addition to a potential trend reversal, hammers can mark bottoms or support levels. After a decline, hammers signal a bullish revival. The low of the long lower shadow implies that sellers drove prices lower during the session. However, the strong finish indicates that buyers regained their footing to end the session on a strong note. While this may seem enough to act on, hammers require further bullish confirmation. Confirmation could come from a gap up or long white candlestick.
After the sharp sell-off in the beginning of 2018, Global equity markets started consolidating in a tight range. During the last quarter's consolidation, volatility dropped. Both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF, a benchmark for Global Equity Markets performance and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF, a benchmark for Emerging Markets performance, have settled above their long-term moving averages. Price action above the long-term moving average and in the up trend channel suggest that the multi-month long uptrends are still intact on both ETFs .
Read More
I really enjoyed our conversation with Caroline Stephen, the host of Talking Trading. We discussed Technical Analysis, Classical Charting and my charting and trading experience in the Middle East & North Africa markets.
You can listen the interview by clicking this link (http://talkingtrading.com.au/frontier-markets/). I hope you will find it interesting and valuable.
During trending markets, there is "consensus". During corrective markets there is "indecision". Current market environment is corrective in nature (choppy price action) and as a result there is indecision between the buyers and the sellers. The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF formed a "doji" candlestick pattern. A similar candlestick pattern can be seen on the Nasdaq 100 Index.
Read More
Reminder: I will be speaking at the Dubai Traders Summit organized by MetaStock on April 26th. Over the past decade I worked for institutions in the region, managing funds & portfolios as well as analyzing Emerging and Frontier markets. At this one day event I hope to connect with Tech Charts members & followers, ex-colleagues and fellow traders to discuss some of the best classical chart patterns that helped me in making trading and investment decisions. Registration is free. You can follow this link to register >> DUBAI TRADERS SUMMIT APRIL 26th.
The benchmark for Global Equity Markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF is trying to rebound from strong support area formed by the 200-day (40 week) average and the lower boundary of upward trend channel. Failure to hold above support area can result in a larger scale correction. iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM) is also trying to find support around the long-term support area. While the long-term uptrend is still intact, we are possibly due for more choppy price action in the coming weeks. Several major Global equity indices are forming well-defined trading ranges. Charts below show the boundaries of these consolidations.
Read More
Indecision. Jury is still out. This week's price action is best explained with the help of candlestick patterns definitions. Spinning top is a candlestick with a long upper shadow, long lower shadow, and small real body. One long shadow represents a reversal of sorts; spinning tops represent indecision. The small real body (whether hollow or filled) shows little movement from open to close, and the shadows indicate that both bulls and bears were active during the session. Even though the week opened and closed with little change, prices moved significantly higher and lower in the meantime. Neither buyers nor sellers could gain the upper hand and the result was a standoff. After a long advance or long white candlestick, a spinning top indicates weakness among the bulls and a potential change or interruption in trend. After a long decline (I think this is what we experienced over the past 3 weeks) or long black candlestick, a spinning top indicates weakness among the bears and a potential change or interruption in trend.
Read More
