Global equity markets are going through a volatile period. During this choppy price action we are seeing some technical damage on specific securities. This Interim Update features one of those breakdowns from a well-defined year-long descending triangle that is possibly acting as a top reversal chart pattern. Also the report highlights another similar bearish reversal chart pattern development in U.S. equities.
Both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF and iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF are headed towards their February lows. Next few weeks will be important as these two Global equity benchmarks will tell us if the 2 year-long uptrend in equities is over or not. Breakdown below long-term averages will also violate the lower boundary of steady upward trend channels. While the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets index has margin towards the strong support area, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index closed the week at the support level. Unless we see a stability above 70 levels, the ETF can correct towards the next support at 63 levels.
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To summarize the current technical outlook in the Global Equity markets, I would say "range-bound". Global Equity benchmark charts below show the boundaries of the recent consolidations. After the sharp sell-off in the first half of February, global indices are returning back to low volatility conditions. Both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM) are in a long-term uptrend. Both benchmarks are above their long-term averages. Latest consolidations are taking place above strong support areas.
A strong weekly close and especially a strong Friday price action is positive for Global equities. However, it is still early to conclude that the short term consolidation is over and we are headed to new all-time highs. I think we are still in the consolidation phase and choppy price action can continue for some time.
The long-term trend is upwards for the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O). The benchmark for Global equity market performance continues to remain above its long-term average. In the short/medium-term, the ETF is in a trading range between the all-time high at 77.55 and 70 levels.
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Due to very positive feedback we got for the last webinar on rectangle chart patterns, we are continuing the webinar series with another reliable horizontal chart pattern; the ascending triangle. Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel - Thursday, March 8, 11am mountain. You can register here (Register for the Live Webinar)
Over the past few weeks Global Equity Markets report featured some great chart setups in U.S. Regional Banks & Financials. Some of those chart patterns are resolved on the upside and some are about to complete. As we see more strength in the sector I thought it is a good time to review some of those recent chart pattern developments. Read More
Due to very positive feedback we got for the last webinar on rectangle chart patterns, we are continuing the webinar series with another reliable horizontal chart pattern; the ascending triangle. Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel - Thursday, March 8, 11am mountain. You can register here (Register for the Live Webinar)
Equity indices that had weak rebound from the lows, tested the same support areas. Japan's Nikkei Index is one of them. On the weekly scale we can see that the upward trend channel is still intact with the support forming at 20,880 levels. On the daily scale price chart (futures price data to capture Friday's close) we can see that the Friday's recovery on U.S. indices helped the Nikkei Futures to form a Doji candlestick at the support. Failure to hold these levels can result in a larger scale correction. In the short-term Japan's Nikkei will try to find support around 20,880 levels and if it succeeds we will possibly label the price action as a double bottom.
Due to very positive feedback we got for the last webinar on rectangle chart patterns, we are continuing the webinar series with another reliable horizontal chart pattern; the ascending triangle. Ascending triangle is a chart pattern with horizontal boundaries and has bullish implications. It can form as a bottom reversal or a bullish continuation chart pattern. Over the past couple of months the Global Equity Markets report has featured great chart setups that I identified as well-defined ascending triangles.
The upcoming webinar is dedicated to a thorough discussion on this reliable horizontal chart pattern.
Global equity markets rebounded sharply and held on to last week's gains. I follow the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) as a benchmark for the Global equity markets performance. The ETF is in a steady uptrend above the long-term (200 day, 40 week) average. Volatility increased in the month of February after the sharp sell-off in the equity markets. The ACWI ETF tested its long-term average which is now acting as strong support at 70 levels. Choppy sideways price action can continue for some time until we see lower levels on volatility. Usually, markets go through a period of consolidation after sharp corrections. I think we are in that stage.
Global Equity Markets had a strong rebound from their long-term averages. A benchmark for Global equity market performance; the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF rebounded from its 200-day (40 week) average and the lower boundary of its multi-month long upward trend channel. Long-term uptrend remains intact. In the following weeks Global equity indices will possibly continue to consolidate in a range until volatility is back to lower levels. In case of a re-test of last week's lows, both the lower boundary of the uptrend and the long-term average will act as strong support levels.
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