GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – July 14, 2018

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Until a chart pattern is mature and ready to resolve in one direction we have to make minor adjustments to the chart pattern boundaries. (Learn more: Morphology) Dealing with chart patterns and breakouts in real-time is difficult compared to labeling chart patterns on price charts in hindsight. Corrective periods are more tricky compared to trend periods because market corrections are periods of indecision between buyers and sellers whereas trend periods show consensus. The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is going through a corrective period. The 5 month-long choppy sideways movement is possibly forming a symmetrical triangle between the boundaries of 70.4 and 74. This week's price action pushed the ETF above its long-term average. For the long-term uptrend to resume, price should remain above the 200 day-average.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – July 7, 2018

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A bullish engulfing is a pattern that forms when a small black candlestick is followed by a large white candlestick that completely eclipses or “engulfs” the previous day’s/week’s candlestick. As implied in its name, this trend suggests the bulls have taken control of a security’s price movement from the bears. This type of pattern usually accompanies a declining trend in a security, suggesting a low or end to a security’s decline has occurred.

Where a bullish engulfing candle forms in the context of a trend is one of the most important factors. When a bullish engulfing candle forms at the end of a downtrend or at a support level, the reversal is much more powerful as it represents a capitulation bottom.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 30, 2018

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If anybody tells you, "I know what the markets will do in the following weeks" he or she might be guessing. I will try to be as objective as possible with some of the major equity benchmarks and convey the message of my chart analysis. After the Jan-Feb 2018 sell-off on the ACWI ETF, price remained range-bound. The consolidation formed a possible 4 month-long symmetrical triangle (can act a bearish continuation). Both the lower boundary of the consolidation and the 200-day (40 week) moving average formed support around the same level. After each test over the past 4 months, the ETF rebounded from the 200-day moving average.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 23, 2018

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Once again the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) reverted back to its 200-day (40-week) moving average. The long-term average at 71.40 levels is also the lower boundary of the 4 month-long symmetrical triangle chart pattern. Breakout from the last 4 month's consolidation will be important for Global equity markets performance. A breakdown below the lower boundary of the 4 month-long symmetrical triangle will push the ACWI ETF below its long-term average, possibly reversing the last 2 year's uptrend. Following charts review the Emerging and Frontier Market ETFs that are already trading below their long-term averages. The boundaries of consolidation for the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF remains between 74.3 and 71.4 levels.

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Head and Shoulders Top – Failure

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 16, 2018

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The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) continues to challenge the upper boundary of its 4 month-long sideways consolidation. The index remains range-bound. Last 2 year's trend is upwards. Price is trading above the long-term moving average. Both the lower boundary of the 2 year-long trend channel and the 200-day (40 week) moving average are forming support at 71.35 levels. The upper boundary of the the 4 month-long consolidation is acting as resistance at 73.90 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 9, 2018

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Benchmark for Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is challenging the upper boundary of its 4 month-long symmetrical triangle at 73.90 levels. Tight consolidation is taking place above the long-term average which is acting as support at 71.2 levels. Both the long-term average and the lower boundary of the 2 year-long uptrend are forming support around the same levels. ACWI ETF is in a steady uptrend. Decisive breakout above 73.90 can resume the multi-year long uptrend. Failure to move higher can result in another test of the long-term average at 71.2 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 2, 2018

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Benchmark for Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) continues to consolidate in a tight range. Last 4 month's consolidation can be identified as a possible symmetrical triangle. Symmetrical triangle is a neutral chart pattern. Price can breakout in any direction. Strong resistance stands at 73.90 levels. Support, formed by both the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle and the 200-day (40-week) moving average stands at 71 levels. Last 4 month's consolidation is taking place inside the 2 year-long uptrend channel. Long-term trend is upwards. Read More

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 26, 2018

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Announcement:

Dear Tech Charts members,

It has been a successful year since the launch of Tech Charts membership service. I'd like to take this opportunity to thank you all for your support. I hope to build a long lasting relationship with all of our members and hope to serve you in the coming years. I'm excited and motivated to improve our membership service every year. Going forward, Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report will include Frontier Markets into its research universe.  Tech Charts follows the MSCI classification for market research. Below is a table that shows MSCI classification for each market. Global Equity Markets report is highlighting developing opportunities in Developed and Emerging Markets. We are now adding Frontier Markets equities to our report. Please note that coverage of a specific market doesn't mean you will find every equity available in that specific market. Global Equity Markets report features selective number of opportunities only if the price chart has a well-defined and mature classical chart pattern.

We have received several requests to include educational videos that explains basic concepts in Technical Analysis. For our members who are new to classical charting principles and technical analysis, we are planning to add new video tutorials. New educational videos on classical chart patterns are being produced as well.

As usual, please feel free to ask questions, send charts for discussions and feedback on any matter regarding your membership service.

I look forward to another great year.

REVIEW

Global equity markets remain in an uptrend. The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF is trading above its long-term average. Over the past 2 years the ETF has been moving in an upward trend channel. However, past 4 month's price action is now becoming more clear as a sideways consolidation. The ACWI ETF is possibly forming a 4 month-long symmetrical triangle with the upper boundary acting as resistance at 73.9 and support at 71.2 levels. Until the recent consolidation is resolved in one direction we will expect more choppy price action. A breakdown will confirm the 4 month-long symmetrical triangle as a bearish continuation chart pattern. Such price action will also take out the lower boundary of the trend channel and the 200-day (40 week) moving average and suggest lower prices. A decisive break above 73.90 levels will keep the long-term uptrend intact and push the ACWI ETF towards 77-78 area (previous high).

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Tech Charts Year in Review – Year One

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Tech Charts Year in Review - Year One May 2018 
  • A study on Chart Pattern Reliability with the available sample data over the past year
  • Chart patterns with horizontal boundaries have been more reliable compared with breakouts from chart patterns with diagonal boundaries
  • Long-term trends impact the number of bullish and bearish chart pattern setups and breakout opportunities
  • Rectangles, H&S continuations, H&S bottoms and Ascending triangles have been reliable with breakouts from well-defined horizontal boundaries
  • Developing breakout opportunities
  • Live Q&A
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