Another update is on the long and medium term Coffee charts. One month from the last update Coffee has found support at the lower boundary of the long-term trend channel and rebounded sharply. http://techcharts.wordpress.com/2012/06/01/coffee-3/ Before we identify the direction of the next medium/long-term trend, Coffee is likely to consolidate between 200 levels (200 day moving average) and 160 […]
In this post I’m analyzing two long-term commodity charts from the meat complex. Charts above are continuous prices for Live Cattle and Feeder Cattle. Both charts had strong breakouts from their long-term consolidation ranges. Feeder cattle and Live cattle prices broke out of 6 year-long consolidation periods in the beginning of 2011. Feeder cattle breached 120 levels and Live cattle 104 levels. […]
Since my last update on Natural Gas price moved higher and reached the important resistance area between 2.75 and 2.80. Earlier analysis discussed the possibility of a head & shoulder bottom reversal. http://techcharts.wordpress.com/2012/06/18/natural-gas-3/ Natural gas is now closer to a decisive price action. A breakout above 2.75-2.80 will confirm the head and shoulder bottom and […]
High volatility in May is followed by a calm period in June. After the sharp sell-off in almost all asset classes during May we are now seeing short-term rebounds. Even though some commodities, equity indices and currency pairs are resuming their slide. MSCI Emerging Markets is a widely followed index that found support in the beginning of June. Index rebounded from an extremely critical level. MSCI EM formed […]
Housing starts in U.S. fell 4.8% in May. Total starts dropped 4.8 percent to a 708,000 annual pace in May from a revised 744,000 rate in the prior month that was the highest since October 2008, today’s report showed. Building permits increased 7.9 percent to a 780,000 annual rate, reflecting gains in single-family and multifamily […]
Natural gas had a strong rebound from 2.2 levels. It recorded +10% gain in one day. Price formed a perfect symmetry after finding support at 2.2 levels, a requirement for a head and shoulder pattern. Now we have symmetrical Left and Right shoulders. Confirmation of the inverted head and shoulder pattern will be a decisive break […]
Spain meets Croatia tonight for Euro 2012 tournament. Greece had a great victory against Russia. Both teams are probably qualifying for quarter finals. While the news for Spain and Greece is exciting on the Euro cup side, it is not as rosy on the economics side. Yesterday Greece had elections. Results: positive. Market reaction: short-lived optimism. Markets are […]
Another negative data for the unemployment with an increase in initial jobless claims by 6,000. Prior week is now at 380,000 which is 3,000 higher than the initial estimate. Though still below the 52-week moving average 386,000 is now very close to the important resistance at 390,000. Continuing deterioration in the unemployment figures can reverse the downtrend that […]
First-time claims for jobless benefits fell by 12,000 to 377,000 in the week ended June 2 from a revised 389,000 the prior week. This number continued the declining trend on the jobless claims that has been intact since the second quarter of 2009. The initial jobless claims continues to stay below the 52 week average […]
One of the best long-term opportunity is presenting itself on the GBP/USD chart. This widely followed currency pair is now forming a perfect symmetrical triangle. Since 2009, GBP/USD has been consolidating in a range between 1,35 and 1,70. As it is always the case with symmetrical triangles, consolidation range narrows and is usually followed by a strong breakout. It […]
