DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERGAE

This chart shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average on a weekly scale. I’ve been reading analysis of the US indices forming a possible H&S top or going through a distribution phase that could reverse the uptrend. I believe Dow Jones Industrial Average is forming a sideways consolidation range. Symmetrical triangle or a contracting range should be regarded as a bullish set-up for the index. It is important to note that DJIA is still holding above its 200 day moving average (red-line). I believe the uptrend is still intact and the 5 month-long consolidation could resolve with an upward breakout. Strong support is at 11,900 level for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. A break below this level will breach both the 200 day moving average and the lower boundary of the intermediate term consolidation range.

S&P GSCI (COMMODITY INDEX)

The chart above shows the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index for the past 5 years. Different from other updates on this post I wanted to show that the uptrend in commodities is still intact and continues in a clear parallel trend channel. In the last few months we have seen commodities pulling back to their 200 day moving averages and finding support. This was a mean-reversion and it might be over. 650 level will be strong support in the following months (lower boundary of the trend channel and the 200 day moving average). Uptrend is still intact and could target 800 levels.