Inverse Head & Shoulder and Head & Shoulder Continuation – April 2019 Tech Charts Webinar

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Inverse Head & Shoulder and Head & Shoulder Continuation - April 2019 Tech Charts Webinar
  • We will review some of those chart pattern breakouts that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report.
  • We will review some of the qualities we look for when identifying and differentiating H&S bottom and H&S continuation
  • We will look at some of the developing bullish continuation chart patterns
  • We will continue to highlight Tech Charts members favorite chart pattern setups in different equity markets.
  • Live questions from Members
Live questions from Members  
  1. Can we look at palladium, does recent price action indicate a topping pattern? 47:03
  2. Any thoughts on CVS? 48:07
  3. Can you talk about 285 in HK? My question is — the last nights close is 3% above the boundary, but it's also a candle with big upper wick. How do you handle an entry like this? 48:24
  4. Could you please address where you place stop losses? Do you use trailing stops? If so, how? 50:00 Link mentioned ATR Trailing Stop-Loss – H&S Top
  5. Peter seems to use just about any dipping movement as a right shoulder. Do you have conditions, strict or otherwise, as what counts as a valid right shoulder? 50:33
  6. In the continuation pattern, if we compare H&S to cup and handle, which one has better success rate in your experience? 51:46 
  7. Do you have any statistics as to the percentage of times H&S continuation patterns work? 53:35
  8. In H&S continuation pattern, do you ignore 200 Day MA totally? Some of them I noticed are really far above the long term moving average. Is that a concern? 54:49
  9. Do you regard H&S failure patterns as a valid tradeable pattern? 55:42
  10. With Peter Brandt’s retirement announced (April 2020), can you consider covering futures and commodities? Please. 56:59 
  11. While you are drawing boundary lines are you relaying more on candlestick close or candlestick high (on body or on wick)?  Is this discretionary and changes on pattern to pattern basis? Do you have some kind of method behind how you draw boundaries? 57:26
  12. When after breakout, a pullback below boundary, how long do you stick with it? All the way to failure point? Half way there? Do you study what % recover from a deep pullback below breakout? 58:40 
  13. Does pairs (ratio) charts can be followed and traded using the same classical patterns outlined here? 1:00:36
  14. Can you buy Singapore and Spanish indices via ETF? Futures? 1:01:33
  15. 200 Moving Average on your charts is 200 period Exponential Moving Average? Always 200 periods (200 weeks on weekly and 200 days on daily) or always 200 DAYS EMA on every timeframe? 1:02:21 
  16. Do you verify LT moving average on daily chart? Are you using the 200MA on daily chart 1:02:57 Link mentioned Moving Averages
  17. Could you discuss the significance of the divergence between SPX and the Russell 2000 - negative divergence (Russell underperforming)? 1:03:38
  18. Observations on RCI H&S setup? 1:04:52
  19. Do you have any observations on the use of options as a tactic to trade breakouts? 1:05:31
  20. By "Moving Average" is that the Simple Moving Average, or something else?1:05:44 Link mentioned Moving Averages
Recorded live 4.18.2019    Read More

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 20, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O), is now very close to a horizontal resistance at 74.8 levels. Given the magnitude of the strong rebound and the steady rise without any pullback, one can't rule out the possibility of a breather/pause around the resistance at 74.8 levels. If we see a pullback, the 200-day moving average which is currently at 70.6 levels can act as support.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 13, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is now close to a horizontal resistance at 74.8 levels. The ETF had a strong rebound from 63 levels. The V-bottom reversal was followed by the ETF clearing its long-term moving average in February. Since then the ACWI ETF has been trending above its long-term average. I consider price action above the long-term average as positive and classify it as an uptrend. Though it is important to note that, last few month's price action has been steep and such steep advances are not sustainable. During any setback the long-term moving average at 70.45 levels will act as support. Short-term resistance stands at 74.8 levels.

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Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel – Thursday, April 18, 8:30am mountain

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Dear Tech Charts Members,

We are continuing our Member webinar series with inverse H&S chart pattern that acts as a bottom reversal and also as a continuation. Over the past few weeks Global equity markets report identified some well-defined and mature H&S bottom reversals and H&S continuation chart patterns. I hope to highlight differences between these two types of bullish chart patterns and discuss how they develop in the general context of overall price action.

Scheduled for: Thursday, April 18 at 8:30am MST (register below)

The upcoming webinar is dedicated to a thorough discussion on inverse head and shoulder (reversal) and bullish H&S continuation.

  • We will review some of those chart pattern breakouts that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report.
  • We will review some of the qualities we look for when identifying and differentiating H&S bottom and H&S continuation
  • We will look at some of the developing bullish continuation chart patterns
  • We will continue to highlight Tech Charts members favorite chart pattern setups in different equity markets. As always please feel free to send charts for discussion.
  • We will have a member Q&A at the end of the webinar.

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INTERIM UPDATE – April 11, 2019

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A short-term bullish opportunity might be developing in Energy sector equities in Global markets. Last week's Global Equity Markets report featured SPDR S&P OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION ETF (XOP). This interim update adds few more well-defined horizontal chart pattern setups that can resolve on the upside. Breakouts from these consolidations can add momentum to Energy related equities.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 6, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) continues to remain strong. The ETF had a strong rebound from support at 63 levels and since then the uptrend resumed without any significant setback. In February the ETF cleared its 200-day moving average and continues to trend above its long-term average. In the short-term horizontal resistance at 74.8 levels can act as an overhead supply. Strong support is the 200-day average at 70.3 levels.

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Moving Averages

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 30, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is trying to find direction above its long-term average. We can see choppy price action around the 200-day average. More important is how the index will consolidate around the average. If it forms an orderly, recognizable short-term consolidation (in the form of a flag, pennant, rectangle, symmetrical triangle) I will conclude that the index is preparing for a new leg up. 200-day moving average is forming support at 70.15 levels.

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INTERIM UPDATE – March 29, 2019

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One of my daily tasks is to go through +/- 2,000 names in search for well-defined classical chart patterns. I do this throughout the week. I disconnect from the markets during trading hours and run my research. As the weekend nears, I start finalizing new additions to the watchlist section of the weekly report. I like to inform members ahead of breakouts letting enough time to run their own due diligence on the companies discussed.

The chart below was part of the upcoming report's watchlist. However, it seems like there is a possibility of a breakout prior to the weekend. I think it is important for our members to be informed about this chart  setup.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 23, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is trying to find direction above its long-term average. In March the index pulled back to the 200-day average and rebounded. Past few day's trading once again pulled the index towards the long-term average that can act as support around 70 levels. We can see choppy price action around the 200-day average. More important is how the index will consolidate around the average. If it forms an orderly, recognizable short-term consolidation (in the form of a flag, pennant, rectangle, symmetrical triangle) I will conclude that the index is preparing for a new leg up. Price action in 2016 is a good explanation of what I would like to see around the 200-day average to call for a change in trend. (A sharp drop, followed by a strong rebound that breaches the 200-day average, followed by choppy price action in search of a new trend and eventually forming a recognizable chart pattern)

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