Entries by Aksel Kibar

INDONESIA JSX 45 INDEX and USD/IDR

2 year-long depreciation for the Indonesian Rupiah should be over with the USD/IDR reaching long-term trend resistance at 12,400 levels. In 2012, I’ve analyzed several emerging market currency weakness against the U.S. dollar. USD/IDR was one of the charts that formed major base reversal (inverted head & shoulder). Since then, the asian currency depreciated from 9,000 levels to 12,000 levels. 2 year-long uptrend on the USD/IDR is […]

Gold, Silver, USD and Unemployment

Here are some of the charts that I shared on twitter today. U.S. weekly jobless claims chart is extremely important as I shared several updates on this topic. Year 2013 can prove to be a major low for weekly jobless claims figure. #unemployment To understand the importance of the latest weekly jobless claims data check […]

INDIA BOMBAY SE SENSEX INDEX

Strength in India’s BSE Sensex Index is no surprise as the benchmark has been testing historical high levels. In September I shared an analysis showing similarities between India and South Africa equity index chart patterns. I think consecutive tests of the historical high levels on the BSE Sensex Index will lead to a breakout and […]

Yields, Copper and Nikkei

Some quick thoughts I just shared on twitter. Charts are valuable. Notes on these: 1) 10 Year U.S. yields are climbing higher. Now very close to strong 7 year-long trend resistance. Breakout above 3.0 levels could be a “game changer”. 2) Nikkei 225 has strong long-term resistance at 16,000 levels. As it approaches to that […]

US DOLLAR/INDONESIAN RUPIAH

  Indonesian rupiah had its share from the weakness in emerging market currencies. Over the past two years Rupiah weakened against the U.S. dollar similar to earlier price depreciation that took the cross rate from the lower boundary of its long-term consolidation to test the upper boundary. Fluctuations were between 8,300 and 12,400 levels. It is now the 4th time […]

ITALY MIBTEL & SPAIN IBEX 35

Since July 2012 both indices respected their 50-day moving averages. Over the past 5 months MIBTEL and IBEX 35 rebounded twice from their 50-day moving averages. Given that the latest uptrends formed clear trend channels with their lower boundaries overlapping with the 50-day moving averages, we can conclude that any breakdown below these critical support levels could deepen the short-term corrections. […]

TECH TRADE

Here are some of the charts that I shared on twitter. Compass Group had a strong breakout. Stock should move higher in the following days. This was a 7 month-long consolidation range. #FTSE COMPASS GROUP (CPG.L) breaks out of a 7 month-long flat consolidation range. Low volatility set-up. Bullish. pic.twitter.com/EB8YdYSRwK — Aksel Kibar, CMT (@TechCharts) […]

NIKKEI 225 INDEX

16,000 level becomes more important for Japan’s Nikkei 225 index as the benchmark reaches the decade-long trend resistance. In May 2013, Nikkei 225 had a spike and tested the long-term resistance area. Sharp pullback to the 200-day average followed right after the strong rally. Now, the index is trying to reach the same trend resistance.  To […]

COCOA & SOY MEAL

I analyzed Cocoa prices in October and drew attention to the strong horizontal resistance at 2,800 levels. That study needs an update now as the price is challenging the strong resistance for a possible breakout. Higher prices could be seen in the following weeks once this base formation completes with a similar breakout that took […]

GBP/CHF

GBP is gaining strength against major currencies. This is a bullish chart pattern that has been forming over the past year on GBP/CHF. Cross rate tested 1.48 levels for three times over the past year and a break above this resistance could send the cross rate towards 1.51-1.52 area resulting in further GBP strength. Chart pattern can be […]