Entries by Aksel Kibar

CHINA SSE 5O INDEX

Chinese equities might be on the verge of a strong breakout. This week’s price action pushed the SSE 50 Index to the horizontal resistance at 2,225 levels. Since the beginning of 2016, SSE 50 has been recording higher lows, a bullish signal. Another week of strong price action can clear the 8 month-long resistance and push […]

BASIC MATERIALS and ENERGY

In the first few months of 2016, strong performance in Gold and Silver resulted in a sharp rally in precious metal stocks. Several oversold gold and silver mining companies had strong performance over the past few months. Similar bullish theme can take place in the basic materials and energy complex. Some of the commodities in […]

TURKEY BIST 100

Turkish equities are at critical support levels from where they can see a possible turnaround. We are talking about a country and financial markets that experienced a failed coup, an S&P downgrade and a recently declared state of emergency. Yet the magnitude of the correction is less than what BIST 100 experienced after the Gezi Park […]

MEXICO IPC INDEX

A strong breakout is likely to take place on Mexico’s IPC Index. Last week’s price action breached multi-year horizontal resistance at 46,500 levels. The horizontal resistance was tested for 5 times over the past four years. Another week of strong price action will confirm the breakout on the local price index and will suggest higher […]

U.S. DOLLAR/TURKISH LIRA

U.S. Dollar continues to appreciate against the Turkish Lira. Over the past three years strong uptrend pushed the cross rate from 1.8 levels to 3 levels. Long-term charts suggest the uptrend can resume in the coming weeks after a year-long sideways consolidation. USD/TRY is possibly forming a symmetrical triangle, usually regarded as a continuation chart […]

MEXICO IPC INDEX

Mexico IPC index is possibly preparing for a strong breakout to all-time high levels. Over the past three years, the IPC index tested the strong horizontal resistance for the 5th time. Since the beginning of April, price held close to the upper boundary. Last two months sideways consolidation can be a symmetrical triangle and a preparation […]

U.S. DOLLAR/CHINESE YUAN

Once again emerging market currencies started weakening against the U.S. Dollar. Earlier update analyzed the Turkish Lira, South African Rand and Mexican Peso.  In this blog post I review the existing uptrend on USD/CNY. U.S. Dollar/Chinese Yuan is reversing from a critical support level. Since the second half of 2015, USD/CNY has been recording higher […]

EURO STOXX 50 INDEX

Euro Stoxx 50 index is either offering a rare buying opportunity similar to 2011 or one last chance for the bulls to exit before the downtrend resumes. The bearish case suggests that the Euro Stoxx 50 index peaked in April 2015 after completing a 2 year-long head and shoulder top which was followed by the breakdown of […]

TRY, ZAR and MXN

This could be a critical day for most of the emerging market currencies against the U.S. dollar. USD/TRY, EUR/TRY, USD/ZAR and USD/MXN are few cross rates worth mentioning in this update. USD/TRY is possibly completing a rectangle chart pattern. The lower boundary of the year-long consolidation formed support between 2.75 and 2.80. A strong weekly close […]

SILVER and SOYBEANS

Poor man’s gold might be setting up for a strong performance in the metal complex. SILVER/GOLD ratio is reversing from a historical support area. This level acted as a medium/long-term turning point for the ratio in 1997, 2003 and in 2008. Not only the relative performance of Silver is showing strength but also the price […]