Symmetrical Triangle Chart Patterns – September 2018 Tech Charts Webinar

Symmetrical Triangle Chart Patterns – September 2018 Tech Charts Webinar

  • The symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern with diagonal boundaries and it is a neutral chart pattern. It can form as a reversal as well as a continuation chart pattern.
  • A symmetrical triangle forms due to the indecision between buyers and sellers.
  • Review chart pattern breakouts that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report.
  • Review some of the failed breakouts and try to analyze what differentiates a successful breakout from a failed breakout.
  • Developing symmetrical triangle chart pattern setups.
  • Highlight Tech Charts members favorite symmetrical triangle setups in different equity markets. Discuss and share some of the best classical chart patterns that members identified or those charts that members might have questions about.
  • Recent chart pattern breakouts
  • Q&A
  • Live questions from Members

Live questions from Members  

  1. Is there a way to distinguish better, stronger, higher probability chart patterns from the large number of those that get published on your watchlist/breakout lists. I am having a hard time choosing the few that I can afford to trade. I am giving priority to horizontal patterns where breakout will be new all time high? Is there another characteristic you would suggest using to screen for higher quality patterns? 54:35 
  2. What’s your minimum W/L Ratio for entering a trade? 56:53
  3. What’s the difference between symmetrical triangle reversal formation and a bullish or bearish pennant, before the breakout happens? (For example, Peter Brandt has been talking about USD/TRY pair, is that a pennant or a triangle?) 58:48
  4. In your Global Equity Market update you have charted “ACWI” as a symmetrical triangle on the weekly chart – what would need to happen for you to reclassify the chart as an ascending triangle? 1:00:26
  5. The 3% break out rule is it valid also for the futures market or only for stocks? 1:01:34
  6. Is the ‘red’ line on the chart patterns a stop level or pattern negation level? If the latter, where does one place stops typically? 1:03:14 
  7. I hear you say often that the best breakouts are those that ‘never look back’. In hindsight analysis I very much agree. But in realtime, without some sort of pullback, I find it very difficult to enter such breakouts with a good reward-to-risk ratio (the price runs away from Moving Averages and other stop-loss indicators and never allows them to catch up). How would you recommend trying to enter these ‘best’ breakouts? How to place stop loss if reversal? 1:05:59
  8. Confused about what to consider a breakout. Can you define at what point exactly a symmetrical triangle can be considered a pattern breakout? (Not the 3% confirmation point, but the actual level required to call it a breakout). Seems like you are using the actual chart boundary in some cases, but a prior high in other cases (for upward breakouts). 1:07:56  
  9. It seems like most of the charts are around 10 months to 24 months or so; is that what you focus on as a time length for these patterns? Of the successful triangles; how long (as a %) of the pattern length does it take to meet the target (or 70% of target for those that don’t make it all the way)? 1:09:22 
  10. Most of the charts you show are generally 1:1 or 1:1.5 risk reward. That means my batting average should be more than 50% to be profitable. How to reduce the risk and increase 1:3 risk reward? 1:11:16
  11. Do you have any statistics on success rates of breakouts reaching targets vs. failure, etc.? 1:12:14
  12. Is it appropriate to have increased confidence in patterns with another launching pattern within it. For example, increased position size? 1:14:01
  13. Is there a point in the triangle where strength of the pattern diminishes (e.g., past 50% or 75% of the distance to the apex of the triangle? 1:14:30
  14. Just be clear on breakouts… So 3% confirmation point is calculated from the point that price first penetrates the triangle boundary? Am I right? 1:15:55

Recorded live 08.25.2018 

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 29, 2018

REVIEW


On Tuesday we had our members webinar and we discussed symmetrical triangles. We received very positive feedback from our members. A recorded version of the webinar will be uploaded on the website for our premium members. We will inform you via e-mail when it is on the Tech Charts website. During the Q&A section one of our members brought to my attention the possibility of labeling the symmetrical triangle chart pattern on the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) as an ascending triangle. Ascending triangle has a bullish bias when compared with a symmetrical triangle. Given that the price respected the horizontal resistance at 74.8, I labelled the chart below with the ascending triangle interpretation. It is important to note that Global equities performance as measured by the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF is going through an extreme low volatility period. Usually these type of low volatility periods are followed by strong directional movement. Price for the ACWI is still trading in a tight range between 70.8 and 74.8.

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CROSS-LISTED SECURITIES

Cross listing of shares is when a firm lists its equity shares on one or more foreign stock exchange in addition to its domestic exchange. Many companies cross-list, in which the stock is technically fungible between exchanges. Prices are subject to local market conditions, as well as FX fluctuations and are not kept in perfect parity between markets. Generally such a company’s primary listing is on a stock exchange in its country of incorporation, and its secondary listing(s) is/are on an exchange in another country. Cross-listing is especially common for companies that started out in a small market but grew into a larger market.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 22, 2018

Reminder on Live Webinar

We are continuing our Member webinar series with another classical chart pattern; the symmetrical triangle. Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel – Tuesday, September 25, 11am mountain. You can register here (Register for the Live Webinar)


REVIEW


Global equity markets performance as measured by the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) made another attempt this week to break out of its multi-month long sideways consolidations. The weekly close was at the high of the weekly candlestick. This week’s price action is possibly a “secondary completion” of the symmetrical triangle chart pattern. Follow through in the following week can resume uptrend towards 2018 high levels.

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Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel – Tuesday, September 25, 11am mountain

Dear Tech Charts Members,

(Register below)

We are continuing our Member webinar series with another classical chart pattern; the symmetrical triangle. Symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern with diagonal boundaries and it is a neutral chart pattern. It can form as a reversal as well as a continuation chart pattern. A symmetrical triangle forms due to the indecision between buyers and sellers. Over the past couple of months the Global Equity Markets report has featured great chart setups that were identified as well-defined symmetrical triangles.

Scheduled for: Tuesday, September 25th at 11am MST (register below)

The upcoming webinar is dedicated to a thorough discussion on this popular diagonal chart pattern.

  • We will review some of those chart pattern breakouts that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report.
  • We will review some of the failed breakouts and try to analyze what differentiates a successful breakout from a failed breakout.
  • We will look at some of the developing symmetrical triangle chart pattern setups.
  • We will continue to highlight Tech Charts members favorite symmetrical triangle setups in different equity markets. I would like to discuss and share some of the best classical chart patterns that members identified or those charts that members might have questions about.
  • As usual we will have a member Q&A at the end of the webinar.

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SOUTH32 LTD (S32J.J)

Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed, emerging and frontier markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks. This blog post features an head and shoulder continuation chart pattern on South32 LTD listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 15, 2018

REVIEW


The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) rebounded from its long-term 200-day average and made another attempt to breakout above the upper boundary of its 6 month-long symmetrical triangle. Friday’s close was around the upper boundary of the multi-month long sideways consolidation. In the last week of August the ACWI ETF breached the upper boundary but failed to trend higher. Renewed strength can help the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF breakout from the 6 month-long symmetrical triangle.

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A REVIEW ON ASIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS

Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed, emerging and frontier markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks. This blog post features part of the review section highlighting chart pattern developments on Asian equity benchmarks.

REVIEW


Over the past few months two major breakdowns were featured on Asia equity markets. Both Korea Kospi 200 Index and Singapore Strait Times Index completed top formations and breached their long-term averages. Breakdowns also breached their multi-year upward trend line supports. Singapore Strait Times Index is now very close to its chart pattern price target at 3,100 levels. However, the index is in a steady downtrend and there is no evidence of a short-term bottom formation.

Korea Kospi 200 Index completed a year-long H&S top chart pattern after breaching the neckline at 304 levels. The index remains below its long-term average and in a steady downtrend. The year-long H&S top has an unmet price target at 273.7 levels.

China SSE 50 Index first breached its long-term average and then broke down its 4 year-long upward trend line at 2,615 levels. Last two month’s consolidation is possibly forming a symmetrical triangle that can act as a bearish continuation chart pattern. Strong resistance area remains between 2,615 and 2,625 levels. Chinese equities are in a steady downtrend.

Two Asian equity benchmarks are holding well despite the weakness in regional equities. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index and Taiwan ETF (EWT) listed on the New York Stock Exchange, are going through tight consolidations. Charts below feature the 1st month continuation futures price chart for Nikkei 225 Index and the iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF (EWT). Breakout higher from these tight consolidations can be positive for both Japan and Taiwan equities.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 8, 2018

REVIEW


Strength in U.S. equities alone was not enough to push the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) out of its 6 month-long consolidation range. Few days of price action above the chart pattern boundary at 73.9 levels failed to materialize into a strong directional movement. The ETF continues to remain in a range between 70.6 and 73.9 levels. Strong support stands at 70.6 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 1, 2018

REVIEW


The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) breached the upper boundary of its 6 month-long symmetrical triangle. The upper boundary is acting as resistance at 73.9 levels. The jury is still out. We need to see a follow through in the following week to call for a breakout from the lengthy sideways consolidation. This week’s price action can be a premature breakout that can be followed by a secondary completion. More on: Premature & False breakouts

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