GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 2, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF remains above its long-term 200-day moving average. The ETF is now testing a minor resistance level at 71.3. The rebound from January lows has been strong and without any correction. A possible correction can result in a pullback to test the 200-day moving average at 69.8 levels. With the price remaining above the long-term average, the technical outlook has turned positive.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – February 23, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF is testing the resistance level at 71.3 levels. Since the beginning of the year the ETF had a strong run towards the 200-day moving average. Over the past two weeks the ETF cleared its long-term average. If there is a pullback, the 200-day moving average will act as a support around 69.7 levels. Price action above the long-term average should be considered bullish and could signal a change in trend.

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INTERIM UPDATE – February 19, 2019

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As part of our usual communication and e-mail exchange with Tech Charts members, I got the request to review metal miners. During my research on Philadelphia SE Gold/Silver Index constituents I came across this chart pattern setup which is slightly in longer duration that I feature in the reports (3 months-24 months). However, I think the developing chart pattern is worth bringing to your attention. Read More

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – February 16, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF had another strong week pushing the ETF above its 200-day (40-week) moving average. Back to back weekly gains followed the V-bottom reversal from the support level at 63. I think we are likely to see some sort of consolidation around the long-term average. Given the uninterrupted advance from January lows, a short-term pullback can possibly form the right shoulder of a H&S bottom formation. Please note it is still early to call for such development. I want to highlight this possibility as many other benchmarks are forming similar structures. For a good example of a consolidation around the long-term average, you can check the H&S bottom formation in 2016.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – February 9, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O), found resistance at the 200-day moving average. After a sharp rebound from the support area (63 levels), the long-term 200-day moving average was the first important resistance the ETF faced. During any consolidation around the 200-day average or during a pullback, I will be looking for a bullish continuation chart pattern development. For bullish interpretation and a reversal of the downtrend, I would like to see the ETF stabilizing above its long-term average. A good example is the first half of 2016...

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – February 2, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global Equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) reached its 200-day moving average after a strong rebound from the support at 63 levels. Back to back weekly gains pushed the index towards the resistance level I follow and utilize as a trend filter. I consider price action above the long-term average as strong and expect higher levels. Price action below the long-term average shows weakness and can become part of a larger scale downtrend. Both daily and weekly scale price chart for the ACWI ETF hasn't provided a well-defined chart pattern.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – January 26, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for Global equity markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) had a strong rebound from the support level at 63 levels. V-reversal pushed the ETF towards its long-term moving average at 69.7 levels. In the last quarter of 2018, the ETF broke down its 7 month-long consolidation and started a corrective period. Over the past 5 weeks the ETF had back to back gains that recovered most of December 2018 losses without any pullback. Latest rebound might be due for a short pullback. I will be looking for bullish chart pattern developments to find low risk entry points.

Friday's price action was a gap opening. Below I analyze two gap openings on the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) and the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O).

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – January 19, 2019

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REVIEW

The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF, a measure of Global equity markets performance, had a sharp rebound from the support level at 63. V-bottom reversals are difficult to analyze and trade. If we have seen a V bottom and the ETF keeps climbing higher in the following weeks, I will wait for the price to stabilize around the long-term average. During any pullback I will monitor this ETF for short/medium-term bullish continuation chart pattern developments. Long-term 200-day moving average stands at 69.7 levels.

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INTERIM UPDATE – January 17, 2019

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I have been preparing some bullish chart pattern setups to be featured in the weekly Global Equity Markets report on the 19th of January. However, a positive news on China & U.S. trade talks is likely to move some of those names in the last trading day of the week. I thought it is important to be prepared for such breakouts (if they take place). Below are the stocks that are listed on China/Hong Kong exchanges with potential bullish setups.

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Reversal Chart Patterns – January 2019 Tech Charts Webinar

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Reversal Chart Patterns - January 2019 Tech Charts Webinar 
  • We will review some of those chart pattern breakdowns that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report.
  • We will review some of the qualities we look for when identifying reversal chart patterns
  • We will look at some of the developing top formations.
  • We will continue to highlight Tech Charts members favorite chart pattern setups in different equity markets.
  • Live questions from Members
Live questions from Members  
  1. I wondered if you could discuss gold and silver in dollars please? They seem to have bottomed, but not clear on what formations they may be making. 48:25
  2. Japan I have seen some folks draw non-horizontal boundary lines on potential H&S tops. Is this valid? 49:33 Link mentioned VEDANTA LTD (VDAN.NS)
  3. Italy would the buy signal come at a reversal to 15.8 or earlier? 51:16
  4. For the launching patterns you showed - where do you put your stop? Can you discuss trade management? 52:08
  5. Germany had a nice candle right where it should at the target low price, what do we need to see to be a buyer for a reversal upside? 53:44
  6. For PKG the right shoulder was higher than the left shoulder - What are your thoughts on this, do you prefer lower right shoulder? How much of a difference in shoulder height would you ignore? 56:06
  7. Can you talk about volume - how you use it? 57:25 - Link mentioned VOLUME AS A CONFIRMING INDICATOR
  8. Korea has an almost horizontal neck line, valid? 59:40
  9. On the breakdown of the H&S - Are you taking into consideration volume as a confirmation as well? 1:00:11
  10. What is the difference between consolidation, distribution, and continuation patterns? 1:00:44 
  11. You mention a price target on the charts, what about stop loss? Where would you set your stop loss? 1:03:00 Link mentioned ATR Trailing Stop-Loss – H&S Top 
  12. If you are new to trading - How would you suggest starting? 1:03:43
  13. If a breakout signal is missed, would you try to enter at a rebound? 1:07:24
  14. If the price target is met do you take profit on the whole position? Or keep some on and use a trailing stop? 1:08:20
  15. When you draw your diagonal trend channels, do you start with the line on the top of the candles or the bottom? And are the charts linear or log? 1:09:06 
  16. On the DAX why draw the neckline as horizontal? 1:10:23
  17. For ascending and descending triangles are there a minimum/ideal number of contact points you look for to define these? 1:11:45
  18. When you have 2 patterns e.g. H&S and rectangle, which price target should we use? 1:13:40
Recorded live 1.10.2019  Read More