GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 23, 2018

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REVIEW

Once again the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) reverted back to its 200-day (40-week) moving average. The long-term average at 71.40 levels is also the lower boundary of the 4 month-long symmetrical triangle chart pattern. Breakout from the last 4 month's consolidation will be important for Global equity markets performance. A breakdown below the lower boundary of the 4 month-long symmetrical triangle will push the ACWI ETF below its long-term average, possibly reversing the last 2 year's uptrend. Following charts review the Emerging and Frontier Market ETFs that are already trading below their long-term averages. The boundaries of consolidation for the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF remains between 74.3 and 71.4 levels.

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Head and Shoulders Top – Failure

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 16, 2018

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REVIEW

The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) continues to challenge the upper boundary of its 4 month-long sideways consolidation. The index remains range-bound. Last 2 year's trend is upwards. Price is trading above the long-term moving average. Both the lower boundary of the 2 year-long trend channel and the 200-day (40 week) moving average are forming support at 71.35 levels. The upper boundary of the the 4 month-long consolidation is acting as resistance at 73.90 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 9, 2018

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REVIEW

Benchmark for Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is challenging the upper boundary of its 4 month-long symmetrical triangle at 73.90 levels. Tight consolidation is taking place above the long-term average which is acting as support at 71.2 levels. Both the long-term average and the lower boundary of the 2 year-long uptrend are forming support around the same levels. ACWI ETF is in a steady uptrend. Decisive breakout above 73.90 can resume the multi-year long uptrend. Failure to move higher can result in another test of the long-term average at 71.2 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 2, 2018

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REVIEW

Benchmark for Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) continues to consolidate in a tight range. Last 4 month's consolidation can be identified as a possible symmetrical triangle. Symmetrical triangle is a neutral chart pattern. Price can breakout in any direction. Strong resistance stands at 73.90 levels. Support, formed by both the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle and the 200-day (40-week) moving average stands at 71 levels. Last 4 month's consolidation is taking place inside the 2 year-long uptrend channel. Long-term trend is upwards. Read More

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 26, 2018

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Announcement:

Dear Tech Charts members,

It has been a successful year since the launch of Tech Charts membership service. I'd like to take this opportunity to thank you all for your support. I hope to build a long lasting relationship with all of our members and hope to serve you in the coming years. I'm excited and motivated to improve our membership service every year. Going forward, Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report will include Frontier Markets into its research universe.  Tech Charts follows the MSCI classification for market research. Below is a table that shows MSCI classification for each market. Global Equity Markets report is highlighting developing opportunities in Developed and Emerging Markets. We are now adding Frontier Markets equities to our report. Please note that coverage of a specific market doesn't mean you will find every equity available in that specific market. Global Equity Markets report features selective number of opportunities only if the price chart has a well-defined and mature classical chart pattern.

We have received several requests to include educational videos that explains basic concepts in Technical Analysis. For our members who are new to classical charting principles and technical analysis, we are planning to add new video tutorials. New educational videos on classical chart patterns are being produced as well.

As usual, please feel free to ask questions, send charts for discussions and feedback on any matter regarding your membership service.

I look forward to another great year.

REVIEW

Global equity markets remain in an uptrend. The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF is trading above its long-term average. Over the past 2 years the ETF has been moving in an upward trend channel. However, past 4 month's price action is now becoming more clear as a sideways consolidation. The ACWI ETF is possibly forming a 4 month-long symmetrical triangle with the upper boundary acting as resistance at 73.9 and support at 71.2 levels. Until the recent consolidation is resolved in one direction we will expect more choppy price action. A breakdown will confirm the 4 month-long symmetrical triangle as a bearish continuation chart pattern. Such price action will also take out the lower boundary of the trend channel and the 200-day (40 week) moving average and suggest lower prices. A decisive break above 73.90 levels will keep the long-term uptrend intact and push the ACWI ETF towards 77-78 area (previous high).

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Tech Charts Year in Review – Year One

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Tech Charts Year in Review - Year One May 2018 
  • A study on Chart Pattern Reliability with the available sample data over the past year
  • Chart patterns with horizontal boundaries have been more reliable compared with breakouts from chart patterns with diagonal boundaries
  • Long-term trends impact the number of bullish and bearish chart pattern setups and breakout opportunities
  • Rectangles, H&S continuations, H&S bottoms and Ascending triangles have been reliable with breakouts from well-defined horizontal boundaries
  • Developing breakout opportunities
  • Live Q&A
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DUBAI TRADERS SUMMIT – RECTANGLE

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In April 2018, I was invited to share my experiences in charting the Middle East and Africa equity markets at the Dubai Traders Summit. The event was not recorded. I wanted to make this presentation available for our members so I recorded this educational video, featuring parts of the presentation I shared at the event. This section focuses on Rectangle examples. I hope you will find it valuable.

 

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 19, 2018

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REVIEW

We are seeing a decoupling in terms of performance in the Global Equity Markets. Developed markets continue to remain strong whereas Emerging markets start to weaken. The charts below show both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF in a steady uptrend. However, over the past few weeks, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF managed to rebound from its long-term average but the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF struggled around the strong support area. Failure to recover from strong support area can result in a breakdown and larger scale correction for the Emerging Markets. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF is testing the 200-day (40 week) moving average.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 12, 2018

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REVIEW

Global equities experienced renewed strength during the week. Weekly candles on both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF opened at the lowest and closed at the highest point suggesting buyers domination throughout the week. ACWI ETF is breaking out of its 4 month-long tight consolidation. The benchmark for Global equity markets performance has been in a steady uptrend. Recent tight consolidation took place above the long-term average and the lower boundary of its 2 year-long trend channel. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index weighed down by U.S. Dollar strength, still managed to hold on to its 200 day (40 week) average and rebounded from the lower boundary of its 2 year-long uptrend. Both ETFs are in a steady uptrend.

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