GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 21, 2018

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I really enjoyed our conversation with Caroline Stephen, the host of Talking Trading. We discussed Technical Analysis, Classical Charting and my charting and trading experience in the Middle East & North Africa markets.

You can listen the interview by clicking this link (http://talkingtrading.com.au/frontier-markets/). I hope you will find it interesting and valuable.

REVIEW

During trending markets, there is "consensus". During corrective markets there is "indecision". Current market environment is corrective in nature (choppy price action) and as a result there is indecision between the buyers and the sellers. The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF formed a "doji" candlestick pattern. A similar candlestick pattern can be seen on the Nasdaq 100 Index.

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INTERIM UPDATE – April 18, 2018

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There are two important chart developments that I want to discuss in this Interim Update. Read More

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 14, 2017

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Reminder: I will be speaking at the Dubai Traders Summit organized by MetaStock on April 26th. Over the past decade I worked for institutions in the region, managing funds & portfolios as well as analyzing Emerging and Frontier markets. At this one day event I hope to connect with Tech Charts members & followers, ex-colleagues and fellow traders to discuss some of the best classical chart patterns that helped me in making trading and investment decisions. Registration is free. You can follow this link to register >> DUBAI TRADERS SUMMIT APRIL 26th.

REVIEW

The benchmark for Global Equity Markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF is trying to rebound from strong support area formed by the 200-day (40 week) average and the lower boundary of upward trend channel. Failure to hold above support area can result in a larger scale correction. iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM) is also trying to find support around the long-term support area. While the long-term uptrend is still intact, we are possibly due for more choppy price action in the coming weeks. Several major Global equity indices are forming well-defined trading ranges. Charts below show the boundaries of these consolidations.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 7, 2018

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REVIEW

Indecision. Jury is still out. This week's price action is best explained with the help of candlestick patterns definitions. Spinning top is a candlestick with a long upper shadow, long lower shadow, and small real body. One long shadow represents a reversal of sorts; spinning tops represent indecision. The small real body (whether hollow or filled) shows little movement from open to close, and the shadows indicate that both bulls and bears were active during the session. Even though the week opened and closed with little change, prices moved significantly higher and lower in the meantime. Neither buyers nor sellers could gain the upper hand and the result was a standoff. After a long advance or long white candlestick, a spinning top indicates weakness among the bulls and a potential change or interruption in trend. After a long decline (I think this is what we experienced over the past 3 weeks) or long black candlestick, a spinning top indicates weakness among the bears and a potential change or interruption in trend.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 31, 2018

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REVIEW

Global equity markets are still holding above their long-term support levels. A benchmark that I'm following for Global equity market performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) rebounded once again from the 200-day (40 week) moving average and the lower boundary of its 2 year-long trend channel. The benchmark for Emerging Markets equities performance, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM) is trading above its long-term average and still far from the lower boundary of its multi-month long uptrend. A breakdown below the lower boundary of the trend channel and the 200-day average at 70.3 levels for the ACWI can result in further weakness. Until we see a breakdown, we will expect the uptrends to resume.

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INTERIM UPDATE – March 29, 2018

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Global equity markets are going through a volatile period. During this choppy price action we are seeing some technical damage on specific securities. This Interim Update features one of those breakdowns from a well-defined year-long descending triangle that is possibly acting as a top reversal chart pattern. Also the report highlights another similar bearish reversal chart pattern development in U.S. equities.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 24, 2018

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REVIEW

Both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF and iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF are headed towards their February lows. Next few weeks will be important as these two Global equity benchmarks will tell us if the 2 year-long uptrend in equities is over or not. Breakdown below long-term averages will also violate the lower boundary of steady upward trend channels. While the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets index has margin towards the strong support area, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index closed the week at the support level. Unless we see a stability above 70 levels, the ETF can correct towards the next support at 63 levels.

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Ascending Triangle Chart Patterns – March 2018 Tech Charts Webinar

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Ascending Triangle Chart Patterns - March 2018 Tech Charts Webinar 
  • Ascending triangle is a reliable bullish chart pattern that can act as a bottom reversal and continuation
  • Breakouts from chart patterns with horizontal boundaries are more reliable when compared with breakouts from diagonal boundaries
  • Important technical points when identifying ascending triangle chart patterns
  • Importance of several tests of chart pattern boundary before a breakout takes place
  • The broader context of price action and where the ascending triangle chart pattern forms
  • Ascending triangle as a launching pattern
  • Ascending triangle forming as a bottom reversal will take longer to develop
  • Review of ascending triangle chart pattern breakouts between May 2017 and February 2017
  • Defining chart pattern negation level and a logical point to label chart pattern negation on ascending triangle
  • Recent chart pattern breakouts
  • Developing ascending triangle chart patterns; a review of watchlist candidates
  • Q&A
Live questions from Members  
  1. Which broker do you recommend, where I can trade these stocks? I’m having a hard time finding one. 48:05
  2. If I’m new to classical charting, what should I do to learn how to identify each pattern? 49:45
  3. Any comment you care to make on the state of global markets? Europe and Japan look on edge… 51:44
  4. Do you actually search through hundreds of charts each week or do you use a software that alerts you to a breakout taking place across various markets? 53:14
  5. Science vs Art question - on the SBLK chart can you discuss your reasons for drawing the horizontal line where you did? 58:13
  6. Do you sell all your positions at profit target, if not how do you scale out? 1:00:33
  7. Do you look at currency and commodity patterns?1:01:23
  8. Do you look also for short sale candidates? 1:02:30
  9. Is there any point to consider when applying classical chart patterns on forex charts instead of stock? 1:04:50
  10. Do you have an estimate of timing - when the target should be met breaking out of these ascending triangle? 1:05:45
Recorded live 3.8.2018    Read More

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 17, 2018

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REVIEW

To summarize the current technical outlook in the Global Equity markets, I would say "range-bound". Global Equity benchmark charts below show the boundaries of the recent consolidations. After the sharp sell-off in the first half of February, global indices are returning back to low volatility conditions. Both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM) are in a long-term uptrend. Both benchmarks are above their long-term averages. Latest consolidations are taking place above strong support areas.

  

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 10, 2018

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REVIEW

A strong weekly close and especially a strong Friday price action is positive for Global equities. However, it is still early to conclude that the short term consolidation is over and we are headed to new all-time highs. I think we are still in the consolidation phase and choppy price action can continue for some time.

The long-term trend is upwards for the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O). The benchmark for Global equity market performance continues to remain above its long-term average. In the short/medium-term, the ETF is in a trading range between the all-time high at 77.55 and 70 levels.

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