GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 14, 2022

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) remains below its 200-day average and the minor low at 91.7 levels. The 200-day average is currently at 98.5 levels. Breakdown below the minor low resumed the downtrend. 91.7 levels becomes the resistance. The weekly scale price chart formed a long lower shadow with this week's close and could be the first sign of a short-term bottom. There is no clear bottom reversal chart pattern on daily and weekly scale price charts.

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CRYPTOCURRENCIES – May 9, 2022

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The last report on cryptocurrencies read make or break week for many crypto pairs. So many chart were at inflection points. These was a bullish case to be made if right shoulders developed on chart. On the other hand if they failed, there were many chart that were waiting to break down well-defined horizontal supports. Right shoulders never developed and many horizontal setups broke down. Charts below are an update on those developing downtrends and also additional fresh setups.

 

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 7, 2022

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) remains below its 200-day average. To get bullish on Global Equities, I want to see the ETF clearing the 200-day average and settling above it. Until that happens I will view this as part of larger scale complex correction. The 200-day average is currently at 99.2 levels. Breakdown below the lows can result in a continuation of the downtrend. This week the ETF closed below the minor low at 91.7. Unless we see a sharp reversal with a long white daily candle that closes above 91.7, I will expect continuation of the downtrend. A sharp reversal can result in a rebound towards the 200-day average.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 30, 2022

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The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) remains below its 200-day average. To get bullish on Global Equities, I want to see the ETF clearing the 200-day average and settling above it. Until that happens I will view this as part of larger scale complex correction. The 200-day average is currently at 99.7 levels. The ETF failed to form the right shoulder of a possible reversal which led the price to test the previous lows at 91.7 levels. Breakdown below the lows can result in a continuation of the downtrend. On the weekly scale chart, price is inside the channel and also clearly below the long-term average, exposing the ETF to further downside if the minor lows are broken down.

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CRYPTOCURRENCIES – April 24, 2022

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As I go through several cryptocurrency pairs I'm seeing many at inflection points. Inflection point is a level right before a major shift in demand and supply and as a result followed by a trend period. I'm not sure if we are going to see a strong uptrend or a downtrend in the crypto space. However, below chart will offer a good game plan whichever direction markets move in the coming weeks.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 23, 2022

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The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) once again fell below its 200-day average. To get bullish on Global Equities, I want to see the ETF clearing the 200-day average and settling above it. Until that happens I will view this as a counter trend rebound. We can see more sideways consolidation around the 200-day average until the index finds direction. The 200-day average is currently at 100 levels. The bullish case would be the formation of a H&S bottom reversal with the right shoulder being in progress. I would give few more days for the ETF to prove the bullish thesis wrong. An upward move towards 100-101.7 area will increase my confidence on the H&S bottom reversal development. Failure to form a right shoulder and continued weakness will establish the downtrend below the 200-day average for the coming months.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 16, 2022

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The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is consolidating around its 200-day average. To get bullish on Global Equities, I want to see the ETF clearing the 200-day average and settling above it. Until that happens I will view this as a counter trend rebound. We can see more sideways consolidation around the 200-day average until the index finds direction. The 200-day average is currently at 100 levels. The bullish case would be the formation of a H&S bottom reversal with the right shoulder being in progress. An upward move towards 100-101.7 area will increase my confidence on the H&S bottom reversal development.

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CRYPTOCURRENCIES – April 10, 2022

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When I start seeing the same chart pattern on several price charts I call it a developing "theme". Yes, those assets might be correlated but usually I don't see similar price actions taking place on a wide universe. Several altcoins are showing similar reversal chart patterns. Question is: are they going to be successful? I will give those patterns another week to prove themselves. Though I can't wait another week to bring them to your attention. I want our members to follow those patterns the way I'm monitoring them in the following few weeks.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 9, 2022

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is consolidating around its 200-day average. To get bullish on Global Equities, I want to see the ETF clearing the 200-day average and settling above it. Until that happens I will view this as a counter trend rebound. We can see more sideways consolidation around the 200-day average until the index finds direction. The bullish case would be the formation of a H&S bottom reversal with the right shoulder being in progress. Similar H&S bottom reversal labelling can be seen on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 charts featured below.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 2, 2022

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) recovered above its 200-day average. To get bullish on Global Equities, I want to see the ETF clearing the 200-day average and settling above it. Until that happens I will view this as a counter trend rebound. We can see more sideways consolidation around the 200-day average until the index finds direction.

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