Archive for category: Premium

REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) continues to consolidate above its 200-day average. I analyze the latest correction as a reversion to the mean. As we are still above the 200-day average for the ACWI ETF, It is difficult for me to put my bear market cap on. I've discussed the possibility of a short-term H&S top on the ETF, but so far we haven't seen a follow through which puts the bearish interpretation in question. There is no clear chart pattern development on the daily scale price chart.

Dear Tech Charts members,

On the 27th of September, I gave a presentation at the Online Traders Summit. You might have missed the opportunity to attend. If you have registered for the event a recording will probably be sent out.

I wanted to summarize the main points I've discussed at the online event also you can find attached the charts I've shared with the attendees. You might find these long-term charts interesting. Though, the first part of the presentation where I discuss the general concepts for classical charting might be familiar if you have been a long-time Tech Charts member.

Announcement:

On the 27th of September I will be making a presentation at the Online Traders Summit. I will discuss long-term aspects of classical charting principles with examples from Global Equity & FX markets. If you want to register (FREE) for the 2 day event, you can find the link here. I hope you can make it. I'm excited to hear and learn from several other great presenters.

REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) experienced its first setback after a lengthy uptrend. I've adjusted the boundary of the trend channel. The daily price chart might be forming a short-term H&S top with this week's price action completing the right shoulder. The neckline is at 79.25 levels. Breakdown below 79.25 levels can extend the correction towards the 200-day average at 75.3 levels. A breach above the high (82) of the right shoulder will result in a H&S failure and will suggest higher levels. Please note that this is a short-term chart pattern and the shorter -term the chart pattern the more prone it is to failure or morphing (eventually becoming part of a larger scale chart pattern). I'm reading several comments on social media, regarding the possibility of another sharp sell-off similar to Feb-March correction. While anything is possible in the markets, I want to draw your attention to the concept of recency bias.

REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) experienced its first setback after a lengthy uptrend. I've adjusted the boundary of the trend channel in order to focus on the latter stages of the uptrend. The ETF had difficulty to rebound from last week's sell-off. Close to the end of this week, ACWI ETF tested last week's lows. The daily price chart might be forming a short-term H&S top with this week's price action completing the right shoulder. The neckline is at 79.25 levels. Breakdown below 79.25 levels can extend the correction towards the 200-day average at 74.9 levels. A breach above the high (81.3) of the right shoulder will result in a H&S failure and will suggest higher levels. Please note that this is a short-term chart pattern and the shorter -term the chart pattern the more prone it is to failure or morphing (eventually becoming part of a larger scale chart pattern).