Entries by Aksel Kibar

APPLE (AAPL.O)

Though one share of Apple still not as valuable as one ounce of Gold, Apple with its products and its value in terms of market cap has been widely followed and discussed over the past five years. Every day I go through hundreds of charts and analyze different asset classes and I come across great opportunities that I share with you […]

COFFEE

If a market is below its 200 day moving average, it is likely to experience downward pressure on each high volatility period. When analyzing a chart I try to make sure below conditions are satisfied. 1) Direction on the long-term chart should be clear. If a market is above its 200 day moving average I should trade the bullish breakouts […]

U.S. DOLLAR INDEX & EUR/USD

Rebound in Euro and weakness in U.S. dollar has now reached to the targets I’ve mentioned in my previous update on the 22nd of January. (http://techcharts.wordpress.com/2012/01/22/u-s-dollar-index-eurusd/) EUR/USD rebounded from 1.26 levels and reached 1.33 levels. U.S. dollar index reversed from 81.60 levels and pulled back towards the support area between 78 and 80 levels. Since […]

U.S. Unemployment Rate (%)

Since August 2011 I’m updating U.S. Unemployment Rate with the above template. I looked at the % change on the unemployment rate from a different perspective and applied 1 & 2 year moving averages to see crossover signals and the length of trends after major crossover signals. (http://techcharts.wordpress.com/category/economics-united-states/) In this analysis I concluded that in […]

LUMBER

Breakouts from consolidation ranges have always been powerful. The longer the time spent in the consolidation range the stronger the breakout is. Lumber is a perfect example of a range breakout where price has been consolidating for almost a year. Price could have breached the lower boundary of the year-long consolidation at 213 and also violate the […]

NO 2 HEATING OIL

In the previous update I discussed the strength in the energy sector and analyzed Brent Crude Oil. Price of Brent Crude is breaking out of a long-term symmetrical triangle. 3 year-long uptrend resumes in the parallel trend channel and  price is clearly above the 200 day moving average. In this update I’m looking at other energy […]

EURO ZONE GOVT YIELDS

While Greek debt, spending cuts and their negotiations with European leaders continue to occupy the headlines, I thought an update on Euro Zone government yields would be timely. How bad is it out there? Will Greece default? Are Portugal yields more worrying than the Greek situation? These are the questions investors are trying to answer […]

AUD/USD

When analyzing long-term charts, 200 day moving average is extremely helpful in deciding the direction of the long-term trends. Supported by the 200 day moving average, 14 period RSI on the weekly scale is a good confirmation of that trend. In the previous posts you’ve come across the term “road map” referring to the 200 day moving average. Price can move […]

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL

After strong performance from equity markets and commodities and a positive start for 2012, indices are challenging their minor/major resistance levels. One of those indices is the Dow Jones Industrial Average now testing 12,750 levels, a resistance now being challenged for the third time. Since October 2011, Dow Jones Industrial moved from 10,500 levels to […]