Commodity currencies had a strong run since the beginning of 2009. With the help of metals, agriculture and mineral prices going higher Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollar gained strength against U.S. dollar. Australian dollar reached 1.1 levels in May 2011. However, since then we have seen the commodity currencies entering into sideways corrections. Choppy […]
Gold is shining again… read the headlines over the weekend and today. I’ve updated metal charts in August and drew attention to possible strong breakouts. Now is the time for some long-term charts. This time I wanted to put Gold price in euros. The chart below is very powerful and gives a very important message. Since […]
Earlier during the month I wrote about CBOE VIX. Volatility is a good measure of market sentiment. Historical chart studies show 3 important levels for CBOE VIX. 50 level has been an extreme pessimism in the equity markets and 9 & 15 levels; extreme optimism. Over the past 5 years VIX couldn’t break below 15 levels. As a result, […]
Jobless claims rose by 4,000 for a second week to reach 372,000 in the period ended Aug. 18. Unemployment has been above 8 percent since February 2009 – – the longest stretch in the post-World War II era. Last week I drew attention to the loss of momentum on the U.S. Jobless Claims data. There […]
Low volatility periods are usually followed by high volatility and vice versa. Strong agricultural commodity prices are taking a breather but looks like trends are not over. Short-term sideways consolidations and low volatility ranges suggest upward breakouts and continuations. Soy Meal is one of the agricultural commodity that has been consolidating over the past one […]
Metals have been one of the exciting areas as we got closer to the end of this week. Precious metals moved higher and challenged important resistances. First, we saw a major breakout on Platinum followed by Palladium. Low volatility range breakouts are usually very powerful and are followed by strong moves. While a surge in volatility can […]
Here is an update on major currency pairs including U.S. dollar index, GBP/USD, EUR/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD and USD/CHF. CURRENCIES (PDF Document) Highlights: U.S. dollar index continues to hold above its intermediate-term trend. Best intermediate-term trading opportunity will present itself on GBP/USD. AUD/USD & NZD/USD might have another leg up. USD/JPY might be forming a major […]
Will Coffee price reverse its decade-long uptrend or is this another major medium-term low? We are looking for an answer to this question. I attached two charts of Coffee price, one with a long-term view and the other with a medium-term. Coffee is testing the lower boundary of its 10 year-long upward trend channel. A break […]
Yesterday’s data on housing and unemployment supported my view on weakening trends on both economic indicators. It is important to note that we are getting closer to a major long-term resistance on the housing starts data. Since 1966, 850,000 level has been a major support. During the latest downturn, hosing starts fell below this level. […]
McDonald’s was one of the first stocks that entered a major uptrend after breaking out of a massive symmetrical triangle. Breakout from a widely recognized chart pattern (symmetrical triangle) resulted in a 3 year-long uptrend. McDonald’s is now forming another popular technical chart formation; head and shoulder top. Head and shoulder patterns are not confirmed until price breaks down the […]
