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Is Classical Charting Still Valid? – September 2023 Tech Charts & Factor Webinar

Is Classical Charting Still Valid? - September 2023 Tech Charts & Factor Webinar

Join Peter Brandt and Aksel Kibar as they answer this question. 

Webinar Outline
  • Chart pattern reliability statistics (what is performing better)
  • Looking at today's markets from Richard W. Schabacker's perspective
  • Markets of interests, what we are currently focusing on
  • More on classical charting principles
  • Q&A

Live Questions from Members

  1. Is this strategy scalable? Are there any scaled funds (>$1bn AUM) that use Classic Charting exclusively? 55:17
  2. Can this strategy be fully or partially automated via codifying the clearly defined classical charting defined principles? 58:08
  3. After I started to look at the Stochastic Oscillator, I realized that most breakout from patterns occurs when the indicator is overbought/sold on a higher timeframe. Doesn't this affect somehow the reliability of the breakout, with a higher probability of a false breakout when this situation presents itself? 59:34
  4. What does Profit Factor mean? 1:00:46
  5. What are your thoughts on trading classical patterns on intraday charts 1h, 4h or even on 15-min? 1:02:49
  6. Why do we focus so much on win rate (batting average). Don't we care more about "slugging percentage"? 1:05:04
  7. Please explain all the Breakout Types again 1:06:13
  8. I have a question for Peter. From your Factor Member alerts, I note that you rarely, if ever, trade the USDJPY (while Aksel's long-term chart shows a clear break out). I am curious to know if there is any reason or past experience or learning here? 1:07:47
  9. In the past statistics, is there any overlap of patterns - head and shoulders continuation and then ascending triangle overlapping at the breakout point? Are they both included in the stats, or do you maintain the longer duration pattern? 1:10:06
  10. Have you experienced a drawdown like this before? Is this typical in what you have seen in your past? And will you ever adjust your strategy during long stretches of losing trades? Are you sizing down during long losing streaks or shortening your PT or tightening/loosening risk? 1:11:13
  11. Do you ever consider sitting entirely in cash when the breadth of the market is the way it is, and not seeing your breakouts work? 1:13:21
  12. How many times will you let yourself reenter a position that stops you out and do you change the ATR breakout level? 1:13:32
  13. Instead of trading a Forex currency pair such as AUD/CAD is it possible to create a synthetic forex position by trading the futures contracts for AUD and CAD, being long AUD and short CAD if you were trying to long /CAD, and short AUD and long CAD if you were trying to be short AUD/CAD. 1:15:04
  14. To clarify, is Peter bearish on the Russell 2000? 1:16:47
  15. Is it a 200-period moving average on the DXY chart? 1:18:01
Recorded live 09.20.2023 Read More

Is Classical Charting Still Valid? With Aksel Kibar and Peter Brandt – Wednesday, September 20, 830 am mountain

Dear Tech Charts Members, Join Peter Brandt and Aksel Kibar as they answer the question - Is classical charting still valid? Scheduled for: Wednesday, September 20, 2023, at 8:30 am mountain (register below) Read More

Tech Charts Year in Review – Year Six, May 2023 Webinar

Tech Charts Year in Review. Aksel compares the before and after of charts shared with Members over the last year followed by a live Q&A. Tech Charts Year in Review – Year Six
  • A study on Chart Pattern Reliability with the available sample data over the past year.
  • H&S continuation has been the most reliable chart pattern over the past year. Rectangle continued to be in the top 3 reliable chart patterns.
  • Detailed statistics on different types of breakouts.
  • The impact of different market cycles on chart pattern opportunities.
  • Live Q&A
Live questions from Members
  1. Last year, you said 2022 was the most difficult period for breakout trading of the last six years. Many breakout traders implement "sit out" periods where they stop trading in adverse market environments. Others use Progressive Exposure to size up or size down based on how well breakouts are performing. Do you use either of these tactics? 46:42
  2. On type 3 breakouts, are you getting stopped out and then reentering? 48:19
  3. It seems like some of your setups are based on the profit target and where your stop or pattern negation level are placed, that your risk-reward ratio is less than 1. Can you clarify some of those charts and if you're taking these trades or if you're charting what you see on the chart? 49:02
  4. Do you use a trailing stop once price action has moved toward your price target favorably to avoid a loss on something that has moved so much in the favorable direction 50:04
  5. Where are you placing your stops on the chart patterns you use? Like Head and shoulders, rectangles, Cup and handles, triangles, etc? 50:50
  6. What are your thoughts on the current formation of the Gold futures chart? I see a confirmed double top on the daily, but the pattern is small. Would you think it's too small of a pattern to trade? Thoughts on the position of gold's price? 51:52
Educational videos mentioned in this webinar Recorded live 05.24.2023 Read More

Tech Charts Year in Review with Aksel – Wednesday, May 24, 830 am mountain

Dear Tech Charts Members, Tech Charts Year in Review. Aksel will compare the before and after of charts shared with Members over the last year. As always, we'll end the webinar with a live Q&A. Scheduled for: Wednesday, May 24, 2023, at 8:30 am mountain (register below) Tech Charts Year in Review – Year Six  
  • A study on Chart Pattern Reliability with the available sample data over the past year.
  • H&S continuation has been the most reliable chart pattern over the past year. Rectangle continued to be in the top 3 reliable chart patterns.
  • Detailed statistics on different types of breakouts.
  • The impact of different market cycles on chart pattern opportunities.
  • Live Q&A
Read More

How To Utilize Support & Resistance in Different Trade Setups – March 2023 Tech Charts Webinar

How To Utilize Support & Resistance in Different Trade Setups - March 2023 Tech Charts Webinar

We are continuing our Member webinar series with chart pattern reliability and how the latest market conditions have impacted success rates on different chart patterns. Webinar Outline
  • Review of chart pattern statistics and discussion on chart pattern reliability covering the first quarter of 2023
  • Review of global equity markets and latest opportunities
  • Support and Resistance levels & actionable breakout/breakdown points on each classical chart pattern that is covered under Educational Videos
  • Education/analysis of fine points on classical charting as we go through different charts/questions
Read More

Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel – Wednesday, March 29, 8:30 am mountain

Dear Tech Charts Members, We are continuing our Member webinar series with chart pattern reliability and how the latest market conditions have impacted success rates on different chart patterns. We plan to have an interactive session and an open discussion to answer members' questions on different markets and specific charts of interest. Please send your charts and questions to aksel@techcharts.net, and I will add them to the webinar discussion points. Scheduled for: Wednesday, March 29, 8:30 am mountain (register below) Read More

Review of Chart Pattern Reliability Statistics – December 2022 Tech Charts Webinar

Review of Chart Pattern Reliability Statistics - December 2022 Tech Charts Webinar

We are continuing our Member webinar series with chart pattern reliability and how the latest market conditions have impacted success rates on different chart patterns. We plan to have an interactive session and an open discussion to answer members' questions on different markets and specific charts of interest.

Webinar Outline

  • Review of chart pattern statistics and discussion on chart pattern reliability covering the fourth quarter of 2022
  • Review of global equity markets and latest opportunities
  • Stop-limit orders and ideas on scaling in during breakouts and how it changes the risk/reward
  • Open discussion answering member's questions on different markets and specific charts they want to discuss
  • Education/analysis of fine points on classical charting as we go through different charts/questions

Live questions from Members

  1. New member here. I like your data on win rate by pattern and breakout type. I know your targets are based on the chart patterns but have you looked at risk-reward ratios on your trades? In this current environment, I am happy taking some profits at 2:1 and thrilled when a 3:1 reward to risk is achieved. Also, how much risk do you place on a trade? Is it similar to Peter Brandt, and is it a certain percentage of account equity? 47:55
  2. I remember seeing on Aksel's Twitter that he used a quiz to teach about movements and patterns. I found it very didactic to learn technical analysis. Are these quizzes also in the members' area? 49:17
  3. SLIDE 43 - Where to check, ema or sma? 49:55 
  4. Re. Gold: Looking at the monthly chart, can you comment on possible cup & handle? 50:45
  5. Do you look at sectors and main trend in the market when deciding to take a trade? 51:16
  6. How do you rate the technical situation of XETRA DAX? 52:25
  7. How much importance do you give to institutional investors scaling in the stocks and how do you go about noticing their process? 53:14
  8. For looking at chart daily or weekly or monthly? 54:52
  9. In the poorly trending market would you suggest a tighter SL (high R:R, low win rate) or wider SL (Low R:R, high win rate) or is the strength of the market not relevant to SL positioning? 56:02
  10. What time of day do you trade? Always at or near closing price? 56:59
  11. How to know which support or res? right or wrong. 57:45

Educational Videos mentioned in this webinar 

Recorded live 12.15.2022  Read More

Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel – Thursday, December 15, 8:30 am mountain

Dear Tech Charts Members,

We are continuing our Member webinar series with chart pattern reliability and how the latest market conditions have impacted success rates on different chart patterns. We plan to have an interactive session and an open discussion to answer members' questions on different markets and specific charts of interest. Please send your charts and questions to aksel@techcharts.net, and I will add them to the webinar discussion points.

Scheduled for: Thursday, December 15, 8:30 am mountain (register below)

Read More

Review of Chart Pattern Reliability Statistics and Opportunities in Global Markets – September 2022 Tech Charts Webinar

Review of Chart Pattern Reliability Statistics and Opportunities in Global Markets - September 2022 Tech Charts Webinar

We are continuing our Member webinar series with chart pattern reliability and how the latest market conditions have impacted success rates on different chart patterns. We plan to have an interactive session and an open discussion to answer members' questions on different markets and specific charts of interest. Webinar Outline
  • Review of chart pattern statistics and discussion on chart pattern reliability covering the third quarter of 2022
  • Review of global equity markets and latest opportunities
  • Review of cryptocurrencies and latest opportunities
  • Open discussion answering member's questions on different markets and specific charts they want to discuss
  • Education/analysis of fine points on classical charting as we go through different charts/questions

Live questions from Members

  1. India has been in a sideways movement for a year. I know you've featured a bunch of names from here. Do you see this EM as an outlier of strength amongst most EMs? 48:45
  2. I have been looking at the crypto ticker XLM/USD and XLM/BTC. It seems to be setting up a strong bottom. 49:39
  3. I see you use MetaStock. Is there any specific reason? 51:08 (LINK for MetaStock)
  4. Do you only trade the chart patterns? Do you wait for the confirmation for the price close? What do you do when closing diminishes the Risk reward relationship? 52:14
  5. Would you be able to give me a stop loss (as you would use) for your India positions? 53:20
  6. Can you go over the breakout setup in NOC? 55:06 (LINK ATR TRAILING STOP-LOSS
  7. How important is EEM nowadays? Isn't it mostly made up of China tech? Isn't it better to look at individual EM ETFs rather than EEM? 57:05
  8. In your weekly report for some index or stocks, you are using DEMA200 or DSMA200. It's a bit confusing which one to use. 57:43
  9. Yen had a crazy day today. 58:03
  10. Your thoughts on the continuing strength of the U S Dollar & its effect globally? 58:05
  11. Could you give us your view on EWZ (brazil) and also an update on NIKKEI? It looks like a bull trap confirmed above the rectangle breakout. 59:38
  12. Can you summarize any charts that look bullish? Everything seems bearish. 01:01:43
  13. Can you please chart BBBY on daily? Is that a falling wedge from 8/17 to the present day? 01:02:08
  14. How do you trade Turkey ETF? On a USD or at a TRY base? 01:03:51
  15. On the BBBY monthly, is that a double bottom? 01:05:15

Educational Videos mentioned in this webinar 

Recorded live 09.22.2022  Read More

Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel – Thursday, September 22, 8:30 am mountain

Dear Tech Charts Members, We are continuing our Member webinar series with chart pattern reliability and how the latest market conditions have impacted success rates on different chart patterns. We plan to have an interactive session and an open discussion to answer members' questions on different markets and specific charts of interest. Please send your charts and questions to aksel@techcharts.net, and I will add them to the webinar discussion points. Scheduled for: Thursday, September 22, 8:30 am mountain (register below) Read More