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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 24, 2018

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REVIEW

The longer the price remains below the long-term averages the more established that downtrend will become. The benchmark for the Global Equity Markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) broke down the lower boundary of its multi-month long consolidation and its long-term average around same time. Sharp sell-off was followed by a pullback to the chart pattern boundary. This week's price action resumed the downtrend. The minor low around October lows (66) will act as short-term support. Breakdown below the October lows can send the ACWI ETF towards the next support level at 63 levels. Strong resistance area remains between 71 and 71.5 levels. Until we see a recovery above the resistance area (71-71.5), we will expect the weakness to resume in the Global Equity Markets.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 3, 2018

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REVIEW

Strong rebound on the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF pulled the price back to February lows. Strong resistance area stands between 70 and 71.8 levels. After a sharp drop and increase in volatility, we should expect more choppy price action resulting in a short-term consolidation. There is no chart pattern development that would suggest a short-term bottom at this stage. The ACWI ETF is trading below its long-term average.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – October 27, 2018

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REVIEW

The benchmark for Global equity markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) broke down its February lows with a long weekly candle. The ACWI ETF is now clearly below its long-term 200-day moving average. February low at 69.7 levels will become the new strong resistance. Next support area for the ACWI ETF is between 63 and 65. In the short-term the daily chart needs to form some sort of a reversal chart pattern to conclude that the downtrend is over. The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is in a downtrend.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – October 13, 2018

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REVIEW

Since the beginning of 2018, the performance between Emerging Markets and Developed Markets diverged. Emerging Markets have underperformed the Developed Markets by around 15%. Two charts below show the relative performance ratio between EEM and ACWI and also the MSCI indices, MSCI Emerging Markets Index vs. MSCI World Markets Index. You can see the fluctuations on the ratio over the years.

2016-2017 was a period of EM outperformance. In the beginning of 2018, the ratio reversed sharply and the past 10 months resulted in a massive underperformance for the Emerging Markets. We might be at an inflection point as the ratio is now testing 2016 lows. Emerging Markets might start outperforming the Developed Markets once again. (The ratio is calculated by dividing two time series EEM & ACWI and indexing it to 1 on the 1st January 2018)

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 29, 2018

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On Tuesday we had our members webinar and we discussed symmetrical triangles. We received very positive feedback from our members. A recorded version of the webinar will be uploaded on the website for our premium members. We will inform you via e-mail when it is on the Tech Charts website. During the Q&A section one of our members brought to my attention the possibility of labeling the symmetrical triangle chart pattern on the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) as an ascending triangle. Ascending triangle has a bullish bias when compared with a symmetrical triangle. Given that the price respected the horizontal resistance at 74.8, I labelled the chart below with the ascending triangle interpretation. It is important to note that Global equities performance as measured by the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF is going through an extreme low volatility period. Usually these type of low volatility periods are followed by strong directional movement. Price for the ACWI is still trading in a tight range between 70.8 and 74.8.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 22, 2018

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Reminder on Live Webinar

We are continuing our Member webinar series with another classical chart pattern; the symmetrical triangle. Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel - Tuesday, September 25, 11am mountain. You can register here (Register for the Live Webinar)

REVIEW

Global equity markets performance as measured by the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) made another attempt this week to break out of its multi-month long sideways consolidations. The weekly close was at the high of the weekly candlestick. This week's price action is possibly a "secondary completion" of the symmetrical triangle chart pattern. Follow through in the following week can resume uptrend towards 2018 high levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 8, 2018

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REVIEW

Strength in U.S. equities alone was not enough to push the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) out of its 6 month-long consolidation range. Few days of price action above the chart pattern boundary at 73.9 levels failed to materialize into a strong directional movement. The ETF continues to remain in a range between 70.6 and 73.9 levels. Strong support stands at 70.6 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – August 25, 2018

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REVIEW

Once again the benchmark for Global Equity Markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is challenging the upper boundary of its 6 month-long sideways consolidation. The upper boundary was tested several times over the past few months. Resistance stands at 73.9. The lower boundary of the possible symmetrical triangle is acting as support at 70.5 levels. The ACWI ETF is trading above its long-term (200-day) average. Breakout above the upper boundary can complete the multi-month sideways consolidation and result in a directional move. The ACWI ETF still remains in a trading range.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – August 4, 2018

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REVIEW

Global equity markets performance as measured by the iShares MSCI All Country World Index, remains muted in a range. Choppy sideways consolidation has been intact for the past 5 months. The upper boundary of the consolidation is acting as resistance at 74 levels and the lower boundary as support at 70.5. The 5 month-long consolidation is possibly forming a symmetrical triangle. Long-term uptrend is still intact with the ACWI ETF trading above its 200 day (40-week) average.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – July 28, 2018

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REVIEW

The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) found resistance at the upper boundary of its 5 month-long consolidation. Last 5 month's price action can be identified as a possible symmetrical triangle with the upper boundary acting as resistance at 74 levels and the lower boundary as support at 70.4 levels. I track ACWI ETF to measure Global equity markets performance. Price continues to remain range-bound.

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