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A LONG-TERM BREAKOUT OPPORTUNITY

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Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed, emerging and frontier markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks and miscellaneous charts of interest. This blog post features from the review section a long-term base formation and a breakout opportunity that is listed on Toronto Stock Exchange.

ENDEAVOUR MINING CORP (EDV.TO)

Endeavour Mining Corporation (Endeavour) is an intermediate gold producer. The Company is a gold mining company that operates four mines in Cote d’Ivoire (Agbaou and Ity), Burkina Faso (Karma) and Ghana (Nzema), along with project development and exploration assets. The stock is listed on Toronto Stock Exchange. Price chart formed a multi-year long rectangle as part of a possible decade-long H&S bottom. This is a very long-term chart pattern and should be given enough room with protective stops. I would view it as a long-term breakout opportunity. I added both the linear scale and logarithmic scale price charts (difference between log and linear scale price charts). Rectangle chart pattern has a possible price target of 40 and the price objective for the H&S bottom is at 55 levels.

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A review of the most reliable chart patterns Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report featured over the past two years – September 2019 Tech Charts Webinar

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A review of the most reliable chart patterns Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report featured over the past two years – September 2019 Tech Charts Webinar

Webinar Outline

  • We will review some of those chart pattern breakouts that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report 
  • We will review some of the conditions that are required for successful completion of different chart patterns 
  • We will look at some of the developing bullish continuation chart patterns 
  • We will continue to highlight Tech Charts members favorite chart pattern setups in different equity markets
  • We will have a member Q&A at the end of the webinar

Live questions from Members  

  1. On triangle breakouts, how important do you feel it is to clear the last pivot point (as opposed to buying the breakout immediately) before entering a trade? 1:07:49
  2. Could you please comment the HUI or GDX graph? 1:08:30
  3. You have been using SSE50 to analyze China. May I suggest including or start using A50? The reason is apparently the futures contracts trading on SGX. Or, is there a leveraged way to trade SSE50 other than CFD? 1:09:15
  4. Slide 2 – Is the moving average simple, exponential, or something else? 1:09:52
  5. Can you start posting the slides with the member webinar on the member site? It would be very helpful. 1:10:52
  6. H&S bottom reversal: it looks like from the examples that the downtrend line would be breached, retested and form the right shoulder and then breakout. The question, would it be advisable to take position after right shoulder(retest of the down trend line)? 1:11:09
  7. When a H&S has a neckline that is slanted left or right, to which point do you trade? 1:12:08
  8. Why three times 10-period ATR? Is it from experience, is this the best setting for Aksel’s time frame? 1:13:02
  9. Broadening triangle – It’s probably not worth taking a position but when a flat top broadening triangle forms in the downtrend, is there a bias? Example Canada government bond 2-year rate. Flat top broadening triangle formed from March, in the middle of the downtrend. 1:14:30
  10. How do you answer something like this: “I never thought buying breakouts was a good way to trade. Takes so many buyer s to get a stock through resistance. You don’t wanna be buying AFTER that…Pullbacks after the breakout or ahead of a breakout only for me.” 1:15:32
  11. When a premature breakout happens, and the stop is hit, if the breakout happens again, would you take the signal again? If yes, do you change the position size if the risk is lower this time (pivot closer to breakout level)? 1:16:47
  12. Have you calculated which patterns tend to assume which roles: continuation vs. reversal? 1:17:37
  13. Is there any suggestion, other than using the correlation table, which breakout signals to select from because you highlight many and they all look pretty good. 1:18:32
  14. What does on a daily closing basis mean – example when saying, “That the 3%-breakout-confirmation has to happen on a daily closing basis?” 1:19:14

Recorded live 9.15.2019 

 

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A review of the most reliable chart patterns Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report featured over the past two years – September 2019 Tech Charts Webinar

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A review of the most reliable chart patterns Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report featured over the past two years - September 2019 Tech Charts Webinar Webinar Outline
  • We will review some of those chart pattern breakouts that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report 
  • We will review some of the conditions that are required for successful completion of different chart patterns 
  • We will look at some of the developing bullish continuation chart patterns 
  • We will continue to highlight Tech Charts members favorite chart pattern setups in different equity markets
  • We will have a member Q&A at the end of the webinar
Live questions from Members  
  1. On triangle breakouts, how important do you feel it is to clear the last pivot point (as opposed to buying the breakout immediately) before enter ing a trade? 1:07:49
  2. Could you please comment the HUI or GDX graph? 1:08:30
  3. You have been using SSE50 to analyze China. May I suggest including or start using A50? The reason is apparently the futures contracts trading on SGX. Or, is there a leveraged way to trade SSE50 other than CFD? 1:09:15
  4. Slide 2 - Is the moving average simple, exponential, or something else? 1:09:52
  5. Can you start posting the slides with the member webinar on the member site? It would be very helpful. 1:10:52
  6. H&S bottom reversal: it looks like from the examples that the downtrend line would be breached, retested and form the right shoulder and then breakout. The question, would it be advisable to take position after right shoulder(retest of the down trend line)? 1:11:09
  7. When a H&S has a neckline that is slanted left or right, to which point do you trade? 1:12:08
  8. Why three times 10-period ATR? Is it from experience, is this the best setting for Aksel's time frame? 1:13:02
  9. Broadening triangle - It's probably not worth taking a position but when a flat top broadening triangle forms in the downtrend, is there a bias? Example Canada government bond 2-year rate. Flat top broadening triangle formed from March, in the middle of the downtrend. 1:14:30
  10. How do you answer something like this: "I never thought buying breakouts was a good way to trade. Takes so many buyer s to get a stock through resistance. You don't wanna be buying AFTER that...Pullbacks after the breakout or ahead of a breakout only for me.” 1:15:32
  11. When a premature breakout happens, and the stop is hit, if the breakout happens again, would you take the signal again? If yes, do you change the position size if the risk is lower this time (pivot closer to breakout level)? 1:16:47
  12. Have you calculated which patterns tend to assume which roles: continuation vs. reversal? 1:17:37
  13. Is there any suggestion, other than using the correlation table, which breakout signals to select from because you highlight many and they all look pretty good. 1:18:32
  14. What does on a daily closing basis mean - example when saying, “That the 3%-breakout-confirmation has to happen on a daily closing basis?” 1:19:14
Recorded live 9.15.2019    Read More

Reversal Chart Patterns – January 2019 Tech Charts Webinar

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Reversal Chart Patterns - January 2019 Tech Charts Webinar 
  • We will review some of those chart pattern breakdowns that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report.
  • We will review some of the qualities we look for when identifying reversal chart patterns
  • We will look at some of the developing top formations.
  • We will continue to highlight Tech Charts members favorite chart pattern setups in different equity markets.
  • Live questions from Members
Live questions from Members  
  1. I wondered if you could discuss gold and silver in dollars please? They seem to have bottomed, but not clear on what formations they may be making. 48:25
  2. Japan I have seen some folks draw non-horizontal boundary lines on potential H&S tops. Is this valid? 49:33 Link mentioned VEDANTA LTD (VDAN.NS)
  3. Italy would the buy signal come at a reversal to 15.8 or earlier? 51:16
  4. For the launching patterns you showed - where do you put your stop? Can you discuss trade management? 52:08
  5. Germany had a nice candle right where it should at the target low price, what do we need to see to be a buyer for a reversal upside? 53:44
  6. For PKG the right shoulder was higher than the left shoulder - What are your thoughts on this, do you prefer lower right shoulder? How much of a difference in shoulder height would you ignore? 56:06
  7. Can you talk about volume - how you use it? 57:25 - Link mentioned VOLUME AS A CONFIRMING INDICATOR
  8. Korea has an almost horizontal neck line, valid? 59:40
  9. On the breakdown of the H&S - Are you taking into consideration volume as a confirmation as well? 1:00:11
  10. What is the difference between consolidation, distribution, and continuation patterns? 1:00:44 
  11. You mention a price target on the charts, what about stop loss? Where would you set your stop loss? 1:03:00 Link mentioned ATR Trailing Stop-Loss – H&S Top 
  12. If you are new to trading - How would you suggest starting? 1:03:43
  13. If a breakout signal is missed, would you try to enter at a rebound? 1:07:24
  14. If the price target is met do you take profit on the whole position? Or keep some on and use a trailing stop? 1:08:20
  15. When you draw your diagonal trend channels, do you start with the line on the top of the candles or the bottom? And are the charts linear or log? 1:09:06 
  16. On the DAX why draw the neckline as horizontal? 1:10:23
  17. For ascending and descending triangles are there a minimum/ideal number of contact points you look for to define these? 1:11:45
  18. When you have 2 patterns e.g. H&S and rectangle, which price target should we use? 1:13:40
Recorded live 1.10.2019  Read More

DUBAI TRADERS SUMMIT – RECTANGLE

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In April 2018, I was invited to share my experiences in charting the Middle East and Africa equity markets at the Dubai Traders Summit. The event was not recorded. I wanted to make this presentation available for our members so I recorded this educational video, featuring parts of the presentation I shared at the event. This section focuses on Rectangle examples. I hope you will find it valuable.

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DUBAI TRADERS SUMMIT – RECTANGLE

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In April 2018, I was invited to share my experiences in charting the Middle East and Africa equity markets at the Dubai Traders Summit. The event was not recorded. I wanted to make this presentation available for our members so I recorded this educational video, featuring parts of the presentation I shared at the event. This section focuses on Rectangle examples. I hope you will find it valuable.

 

Read More