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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 16, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) found support above its 200-day (40 week) average. Sharp V-reversal from the low of January 2019 didn't encounter a pullback/correction. I analyze the price action that manages to consolidate and find support above its long-term average as positive and review the ACWI ETF with a bullish bias. During any pullback or further sideways consolidation, the 200-day moving average at 69.9 levels will act as support.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 9, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) found resistance at 71.3 levels. Strong rebound that started in the beginning of January is now being interrupted with a correction. This week's price action tested the 200-day moving average.  We are likely to see more choppy price action around the 200-day average, possibly in an attempt to form a reversal chart pattern. It is still early to call for the developing chart pattern a head and shoulders reversal. ACWI ETF is now in a trading range between 66.3 and 71.3 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – March 2, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF remains above its long-term 200-day moving average. The ETF is now testing a minor resistance level at 71.3. The rebound from January lows has been strong and without any correction. A possible correction can result in a pullback to test the 200-day moving average at 69.8 levels. With the price remaining above the long-term average, the technical outlook has turned positive.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – February 23, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF is testing the resistance level at 71.3 levels. Since the beginning of the year the ETF had a strong run towards the 200-day moving average. Over the past two weeks the ETF cleared its long-term average. If there is a pullback, the 200-day moving average will act as a support around 69.7 levels. Price action above the long-term average should be considered bullish and could signal a change in trend.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – February 16, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF had another strong week pushing the ETF above its 200-day (40-week) moving average. Back to back weekly gains followed the V-bottom reversal from the support level at 63. I think we are likely to see some sort of consolidation around the long-term average. Given the uninterrupted advance from January lows, a short-term pullback can possibly form the right shoulder of a H&S bottom formation. Please note it is still early to call for such development. I want to highlight this possibility as many other benchmarks are forming similar structures. For a good example of a consolidation around the long-term average, you can check the H&S bottom formation in 2016.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – February 9, 2019

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O), found resistance at the 200-day moving average. After a sharp rebound from the support area (63 levels), the long-term 200-day moving average was the first important resistance the ETF faced. During any consolidation around the 200-day average or during a pullback, I will be looking for a bullish continuation chart pattern development. For bullish interpretation and a reversal of the downtrend, I would like to see the ETF stabilizing above its long-term average. A good example is the first half of 2016...

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LONG-TERM CHARTS & LAUNCHING PATTERNS

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Stock prices are either in a follow through trending phase or in a consolidation phase. During a strong trending period, a stock will proceed from one price level to another with very little interruption. During a consolidation period a stock will move in both directions without producing any meaningful or sustained price change.

During periods of consolidation prices tend to form a recognizable chart pattern which helps us to determine the direction and magnitude of the next substantial trend with some degree of accuracy.

Because price action and chart patterns are a result of human interaction, it is possible to find those repeating chart patterns in different markets, in different time frames such as on daily, weekly and monthly scale and in different time periods.

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