Posts

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 18, 2019

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O), pulled back from the strong resistance at 74.8 levels. During the week price tested the long-term 200-day average at 71 levels and rebounded. For now we can conclude that the 200-day average acted as support. In the following weeks I will monitor the price action around the average. Failure to hold above 71 levels can result in a larger scale correction. The daily scale price chart can form a short-term H&S top. Both the neckline of the possible H&S top and the 200-day moving average are overlapping at the same level (71). In the short-term, as long as the price remains above 71 support, ACWI ETF is expected to trade between 71 and 74.8 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 11, 2019

REVIEW


The benchmark for Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) experienced a sharp pullback from the strong resistance at 74.8 levels. Pullback found support around the 200-day moving average at 71 levels. What could be next for the Global equity benchmark? One option is a new trading range between 71 and 74.8, similar to what the benchmark experienced in the first half of 2018. A consolidation between the long-term average and the horizontal resistance at 74.8. The other option is the continuation of the correction with a breach below the long-term average. As long as the index manages to hold above the long-term average, I will continue to view the price action as positive. Short-term support is at 71 and the resistance is at 74.8 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – December 29, 2018

Dear Tech Charts members,

One more year is behind us. In the beginning of every year I wish health for family members, friends and their loved ones. Tech Charts community has become a family. I wish all of you a healthy New Year. I hope the new year brings new hopes and aspirations along with the zeal and courage to keep up with those commitments. Wish you all the best.

Kind regards,

REVIEW


Global equity markets performance as measured by the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) rebounded from oversold levels. In the time frame I analyze price charts (daily, weekly and monthly) from a classical charting perspective there is no clear sign of reversal. V bottoms can take place and they are usually difficult to anticipate and analyze. My best guess is that we see some sort of consolidation after December's sharp sell-off. The consolidation can result in a re-test of previous lows. We will be able to tell as we get new evidence (data points) from the markets. For now I can say that the ACWI ETF (ACWI.O) stabilized around the support at 63 levels. Strong resistance stands at 66.3 levels. The ETF is trading below its long-term average and is in a steady downtrend.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – December 1, 2018

REVIEW


The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) continues to consolidate below its long-term average at 71.4 levels. 71-71.4 area will act as strong resistance for the Global equity benchmark. Over the past few months the ETF has been consolidating in a wide range between 66.5 and 71 levels. I use the 200-day moving average as a trend filter. Price action below the long-term average warns us of possible weakness (in the form of further choppy price action or continued downward momentum).

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 24, 2018

REVIEW


The longer the price remains below the long-term averages the more established that downtrend will become. The benchmark for the Global Equity Markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) broke down the lower boundary of its multi-month long consolidation and its long-term average around same time. Sharp sell-off was followed by a pullback to the chart pattern boundary. This week's price action resumed the downtrend. The minor low around October lows (66) will act as short-term support. Breakdown below the October lows can send the ACWI ETF towards the next support level at 63 levels. Strong resistance area remains between 71 and 71.5 levels. Until we see a recovery above the resistance area (71-71.5), we will expect the weakness to resume in the Global Equity Markets.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 17, 2018

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global Equity Markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is trading below its long-term (200-day) average. Last one month's price action formed choppy and sideways consolidation. Earlier the ACWI ETF broke down its multi-month-long consolidation and ended a low volatility period. Volatility is cyclical. Low volatility begets high volatility and vice versa. Currently the ETF is consolidating its earlier sharp price decline from 75 to 66 levels. Strong resistance area is between 71 and 71.6 levels. Long-term support stands at 63 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 10, 2018

REVIEW


The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) found resistance at the long-term 200-day (40-week) moving average. Last two week's price action can be a pullback to the broken support levels between 71 and 71.8. Until I see a recovery above the 200-day average, I will expect the choppy downward price action to resume. Global equities are likely to move in a wide trading range in the following weeks. Strong resistance area stands between 71 and 71.8 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 3, 2018

REVIEW


Strong rebound on the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF pulled the price back to February lows. Strong resistance area stands between 70 and 71.8 levels. After a sharp drop and increase in volatility, we should expect more choppy price action resulting in a short-term consolidation. There is no chart pattern development that would suggest a short-term bottom at this stage. The ACWI ETF is trading below its long-term average.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 15, 2018

REVIEW


The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) rebounded from its long-term 200-day average and made another attempt to breakout above the upper boundary of its 6 month-long symmetrical triangle. Friday's close was around the upper boundary of the multi-month long sideways consolidation. In the last week of August the ACWI ETF breached the upper boundary but failed to trend higher. Renewed strength can help the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF breakout from the 6 month-long symmetrical triangle.

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