GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – February 9, 2019

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The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O), found resistance at the 200-day moving average. After a sharp rebound from the support area (63 levels), the long-term 200-day moving average was the first important resistance the ETF faced. During any consolidation around the 200-day average or during a pullback, I will be looking for a bullish continuation chart pattern development. For bullish interpretation and a reversal of the downtrend, I would like to see the ETF stabilizing above its long-term average. A good example is the first half of 2016...

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – February 2, 2019

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The benchmark for the Global Equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) reached its 200-day moving average after a strong rebound from the support at 63 levels. Back to back weekly gains pushed the index towards the resistance level I follow and utilize as a trend filter. I consider price action above the long-term average as strong and expect higher levels. Price action below the long-term average shows weakness and can become part of a larger scale downtrend. Both daily and weekly scale price chart for the ACWI ETF hasn't provided a well-defined chart pattern.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – January 26, 2019

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The benchmark for Global equity markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) had a strong rebound from the support level at 63 levels. V-reversal pushed the ETF towards its long-term moving average at 69.7 levels. In the last quarter of 2018, the ETF broke down its 7 month-long consolidation and started a corrective period. Over the past 5 weeks the ETF had back to back gains that recovered most of December 2018 losses without any pullback. Latest rebound might be due for a short pullback. I will be looking for bullish chart pattern developments to find low risk entry points.

Friday's price action was a gap opening. Below I analyze two gap openings on the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) and the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O).

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – January 19, 2019

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The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF, a measure of Global equity markets performance, had a sharp rebound from the support level at 63. V-bottom reversals are difficult to analyze and trade. If we have seen a V bottom and the ETF keeps climbing higher in the following weeks, I will wait for the price to stabilize around the long-term average. During any pullback I will monitor this ETF for short/medium-term bullish continuation chart pattern developments. Long-term 200-day moving average stands at 69.7 levels.

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INTERIM UPDATE – January 17, 2019

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I have been preparing some bullish chart pattern setups to be featured in the weekly Global Equity Markets report on the 19th of January. However, a positive news on China & U.S. trade talks is likely to move some of those names in the last trading day of the week. I thought it is important to be prepared for such breakouts (if they take place). Below are the stocks that are listed on China/Hong Kong exchanges with potential bullish setups.

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Reversal Chart Patterns – January 2019 Tech Charts Webinar

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Reversal Chart Patterns - January 2019 Tech Charts Webinar 
  • We will review some of those chart pattern breakdowns that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report.
  • We will review some of the qualities we look for when identifying reversal chart patterns
  • We will look at some of the developing top formations.
  • We will continue to highlight Tech Charts members favorite chart pattern setups in different equity markets.
  • Live questions from Members
Live questions from Members  
  1. I wondered if you could discuss gold and silver in dollars please? They seem to have bottomed, but not clear on what formations they may be making. 48:25
  2. Japan I have seen some folks draw non-horizontal boundary lines on potential H&S tops. Is this valid? 49:33 Link mentioned VEDANTA LTD (VDAN.NS)
  3. Italy would the buy signal come at a reversal to 15.8 or earlier? 51:16
  4. For the launching patterns you showed - where do you put your stop? Can you discuss trade management? 52:08
  5. Germany had a nice candle right where it should at the target low price, what do we need to see to be a buyer for a reversal upside? 53:44
  6. For PKG the right shoulder was higher than the left shoulder - What are your thoughts on this, do you prefer lower right shoulder? How much of a difference in shoulder height would you ignore? 56:06
  7. Can you talk about volume - how you use it? 57:25 - Link mentioned VOLUME AS A CONFIRMING INDICATOR
  8. Korea has an almost horizontal neck line, valid? 59:40
  9. On the breakdown of the H&S - Are you taking into consideration volume as a confirmation as well? 1:00:11
  10. What is the difference between consolidation, distribution, and continuation patterns? 1:00:44 
  11. You mention a price target on the charts, what about stop loss? Where would you set your stop loss? 1:03:00 Link mentioned ATR Trailing Stop-Loss – H&S Top 
  12. If you are new to trading - How would you suggest starting? 1:03:43
  13. If a breakout signal is missed, would you try to enter at a rebound? 1:07:24
  14. If the price target is met do you take profit on the whole position? Or keep some on and use a trailing stop? 1:08:20
  15. When you draw your diagonal trend channels, do you start with the line on the top of the candles or the bottom? And are the charts linear or log? 1:09:06 
  16. On the DAX why draw the neckline as horizontal? 1:10:23
  17. For ascending and descending triangles are there a minimum/ideal number of contact points you look for to define these? 1:11:45
  18. When you have 2 patterns e.g. H&S and rectangle, which price target should we use? 1:13:40
Recorded live 1.10.2019  Read More

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – January 12, 2019

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The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF, a measure of Global equity markets performance, had a sharp rebound from the support level at 63. Back to back weekly gains pushed the index towards the resistance area between 66.3 and 70. Is the recent rebound part of a bottoming process or a counter-trend rally in a downtrend? The answer lies in the following week's price action. V-bottom reversals are difficult to analyze and trade. If we have seen a V bottom and the ETF keeps climbing higher in the following weeks, I will wait for the price to stabilize above the long-term average. If there is a re-test of previous lows in an attempt to form a double bottom, then I will monitor the ETF for a long opportunity. The other possibility is that we see a short-term consolidation before moving higher. That again will alert me to look for bullish setups.

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INTERIM UPDATE – January 8, 2019

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This interim update reviews 2 long-term developing breakout opportunities in Sweden equity market. Both charts patterns are mature and well-defined. Breakouts from these lengthy consolidations can push these stocks to all-time highs. Both chart patterns can act as bullish continuations.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – January 5, 2019

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The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) had another strong weekly close thanks to the Friday's price action. I'm analyzing the latest strength as a rebound in a downtrend. 63 levels remains as the strong support level. Previous support that was breached on the downside will act as resistance at 66.3 levels.

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Live Webinar and Q&A with Aksel – Thursday, January 10, 8:30am mountain

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Dear Tech Charts Members,

We are continuing our Member webinar series with some of the frequently featured reversal chart patterns; the head and shoulder top, descending triangle and rectangle. Global equities entered into bear market territory. Over the past couple of months the Global Equity Markets report has featured great chart setups that were identified as top reversals. Identifying reversal chart patterns can help us in protecting downside in our portfolios. Liquid instruments also offer great shorting opportunities.

Scheduled for: Thursday, January 10th at 8:30am MST (register below)

The upcoming webinar is dedicated to a thorough discussion on head and shoulder top, descending triangle and rectangle as top reversal chart patterns.
  • We will review some of those chart pattern breakdowns that were featured in the Global Equity Markets report.
  • We will review some of the qualities we look for when identifying reversal chart patterns
  • We will look at some of the developing top formations.
  • We will continue to highlight Tech Charts members favorite chart pattern setups in different equity markets. As always please feel free to send charts for discussion.
  • We will have a member Q&A at the end of the webinar.

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