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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 12, 2018

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Global equities experienced renewed strength during the week. Weekly candles on both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF opened at the lowest and closed at the highest point suggesting buyers domination throughout the week. ACWI ETF is breaking out of its 4 month-long tight consolidation. The benchmark for Global equity markets performance has been in a steady uptrend. Recent tight consolidation took place above the long-term average and the lower boundary of its 2 year-long trend channel. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index weighed down by U.S. Dollar strength, still managed to hold on to its 200 day (40 week) average and rebounded from the lower boundary of its 2 year-long uptrend. Both ETFs are in a steady uptrend.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 28, 2018

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Doji form when a security's open and close are virtually equal. The length of the upper and lower shadows can vary and the resulting candlestick looks like a cross, inverted cross or plus sign. Alone, doji are neutral patterns. Any bullish or bearish bias is based on preceding price action and future confirmation. Doji convey a sense of indecision or tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Prices move above and below the opening level during the session, but close at or near the opening level. The result is a standoff. The relevance of a doji depends on the preceding trend or preceding candlesticks. After an advance, or long white candlestick, a doji signals that the buying pressure is starting to weaken. After a decline, or long black candlestick, a doji signals that selling pressure is starting to diminish. Doji indicate that the forces of supply and demand are becoming more evenly matched and a change in trend may be near. Doji alone are not enough to mark a reversal and further confirmation may be warranted.

The Hammer and Hanging Man look exactly alike, but have different implications based on the preceding price action. Both have small real bodies (black or white), long lower shadows and short or non-existent upper shadows. As with most single and double candlestick formations, the Hammer and Hanging Man require confirmation before action.

Hammer is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a decline. In addition to a potential trend reversal, hammers can mark bottoms or support levels. After a decline, hammers signal a bullish revival. The low of the long lower shadow implies that sellers drove prices lower during the session. However, the strong finish indicates that buyers regained their footing to end the session on a strong note. While this may seem enough to act on, hammers require further bullish confirmation. Confirmation could come from a gap up or long white candlestick.

After the sharp sell-off in the beginning of 2018, Global equity markets started consolidating in a tight range. During the last quarter's consolidation, volatility dropped. Both the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF, a benchmark for Global Equity Markets performance and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF, a benchmark for Emerging Markets performance, have settled above their long-term moving averages. Price action above the long-term moving average and in the up trend channel suggest that the multi-month long uptrends are still intact on both ETFs .

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U.S. REGIONAL BANKS

Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed and emerging markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks. This blog post features two equities from U.S. banking sector that formed rectangle chart patterns that can act as bullish continuation. Both charts were discussed in the latest weekly Global Equity Markets report.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 21, 2018

I really enjoyed our conversation with Caroline Stephen, the host of Talking Trading. We discussed Technical Analysis, Classical Charting and my charting and trading experience in the Middle East & North Africa markets.

You can listen the interview by clicking this link (http://talkingtrading.com.au/frontier-markets/). I hope you will find it interesting and valuable.

REVIEW


During trending markets, there is "consensus". During corrective markets there is "indecision". Current market environment is corrective in nature (choppy price action) and as a result there is indecision between the buyers and the sellers. The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF formed a "doji" candlestick pattern. A similar candlestick pattern can be seen on the Nasdaq 100 Index.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 14, 2017

Reminder: I will be speaking at the Dubai Traders Summit organized by MetaStock on April 26th. Over the past decade I worked for institutions in the region, managing funds & portfolios as well as analyzing Emerging and Frontier markets. At this one day event I hope to connect with Tech Charts members & followers, ex-colleagues and fellow traders to discuss some of the best classical chart patterns that helped me in making trading and investment decisions. Registration is free. You can follow this link to register >> DUBAI TRADERS SUMMIT APRIL 26th.

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The benchmark for Global Equity Markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF is trying to rebound from strong support area formed by the 200-day (40 week) average and the lower boundary of upward trend channel. Failure to hold above support area can result in a larger scale correction. iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM) is also trying to find support around the long-term support area. While the long-term uptrend is still intact, we are possibly due for more choppy price action in the coming weeks. Several major Global equity indices are forming well-defined trading ranges. Charts below show the boundaries of these consolidations.

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