I discussed some of the important charts I've been following in India equity, FX and bond markets. India has been outperforming the Emerging Markets. With the index pushing to all-time highs, we can expect similar strength to continue. Below you can find my interview on ET Now and also the charts I discussed during the interview.
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The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is trying to find direction above its long-term average. We can see choppy price action around the 200-day average. More important is how the index will consolidate around the average. If it forms an orderly, recognizable short-term consolidation (in the form of a flag, pennant, rectangle, symmetrical triangle) I will conclude that the index is preparing for a new leg up. 200-day moving average is forming support at 70.15 levels.
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The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is trying to find direction above its long-term average. In March the index pulled back to the 200-day average and rebounded. Past few day's trading once again pulled the index towards the long-term average that can act as support around 70 levels. We can see choppy price action around the 200-day average. More important is how the index will consolidate around the average. If it forms an orderly, recognizable short-term consolidation (in the form of a flag, pennant, rectangle, symmetrical triangle) I will conclude that the index is preparing for a new leg up. Price action in 2016 is a good explanation of what I would like to see around the 200-day average to call for a change in trend. (A sharp drop, followed by a strong rebound that breaches the 200-day average, followed by choppy price action in search of a new trend and eventually forming a recognizable chart pattern)
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The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) found support above its 200-day (40 week) average. Sharp V-reversal from the low of January 2019 didn't encounter a pullback/correction. I analyze the price action that manages to consolidate and find support above its long-term average as positive and review the ACWI ETF with a bullish bias. During any pullback or further sideways consolidation, the 200-day moving average at 69.9 levels will act as support.
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