INTERIM UPDATE – August 25, 2020

I start my research on Mondays and finalize by end of day Thursday. Friday is dedicated to putting all ideas to the report format. During the week I come across good setups and those are featured in the weekly report. However, there are those that pop during the week and is worth bringing to your attention before the week finalizes. Below are latest additions to Tech Charts watchlist that may experience breakouts over the next few trading days. These charts will also be included in the weekly update. (Data as of August 25, 2002, CET 13:05 PM)

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – August 22, 2020

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) resumed its uptrend. Last three month’s price action can be identified as a rising channel. Price is trying to remain inside the trend channel and so far the price remained above the 200-day average. Uptrend is intact. The 200-day moving average is forming support at 74 levels. Breakdown below the lower boundary of possible trend channel can result in a pullback towards the 200-day average at 74 levels. Volatility is low and we can expect another trend period soon. If it is a correction with the breakdown of the trend channel, it should develop fast, towards 74 levels. Pre-pandemic high stands at 82 levels, which is the next important resistance.

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LONG-TERM CHART PATTERNS

Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed, emerging and frontier markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks. This blog post features from the watchlist section FANCL CORP listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

There is a common belief between finance professionals that Technical Analysis and charting is for short-term “timing” of entries and exits. I have written in different platforms that I think this is underestimating the power of charting and its uses in portfolio management and asset allocation. Portfolios/Funds hold different securities with different motivations. A fund manager can have a strong positive view on a company but if the stock is not being bought by the market, in other words the value not “yet” recognized by the market participants, it can remain in the portfolio resulting in opportunity cost.

Stocks go through consolidation periods followed by trends. It is during those trend periods that a fund or position traders will make money. Unless the fund manager/trader recognizes a well-defined trading range at its early stages and starts buying and selling in that range (selling at the resistance and buying at support), it is best to patiently wait for the breakout to take place from the lengthy consolidation.

Price can remain in a well-defined range for several months. Once the stock breaks out, it can take few weeks/months for the strong price appreciation to take place. I like to focus on chart patterns with horizontal boundaries. They are easier to identify on price charts and focusing on horizontal boundaries will remove the bias from your analysis. It is much easier to think that there is a diagonal trend line somewhere (seeing trend lines that are not valid) on the price chart. But it is relatively difficult to come up with a well-defined horizontal consolidation with price having several touches on the boundaries.

Earlier reports covered SHIMANO INC from Japan/Asia Equities as one of the breakout alerts. After remaining in a range for more than 5 years, SHIMANO INC completed its multi-year long consolidation on the upside. The chart pattern helped many long-term investors to position themselves in this name. Breakout took place to all-time highs, which I call it as the path of least resistance. SHIMANO INC is on its way towards the chart pattern price objective at 25,000 levels.

Another long-term breakout opportunity is discussed from Japan/ASIA equities in the Global Equity Markets report. FANCL CORP has a similar well-defined long-term consolidation that can complete soon. I’m monitoring this name for a confirmed breakout.

FANCL CORP (4921.T)

FANCL CORPORATION is a Japan-based company principally engaged in the research, development, manufacture and sale of cosmetics and dietary supplements. The stock is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Price chart formed a 2 year-long rectangle with the horizontal boundary acting as strong resistance at 3,225.0 levels. The horizontal boundary was tested several times over the course of the chart pattern. A daily close above 3,320.0 levels will confirm the breakout from the 2 year-long rectangle with the possible chart pattern price target of 4,315.0 levels. (Data as of 20/08/2020)


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With this knowledge, you can merge them with your investing system. In fact, some investors use my analyses to modify their existing style to invest more efficiently and successfully.

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As a Premium Member of Aksel Kibar’s Tech Charts,

You will receive:

  • Global Equities Report. Delivered weekly.
  • Classical charting principles. Learn patterns and setups.
  • Actionable information. Worldwide indices and stocks of interest.
  • Risk management advice. The important trading points of each chart.
  • Information on breakout opportunities. Identify the ones you want to take action on.
  • Video tutorials. How patterns form and why they succeed or fail.
  • Watch list alerts. As they become available so you can act quickly.
  • Breakout alerts. Usually once a week.
  • Access to everything (now and as it becomes available)
    o Reports
    o Videos and video series
  • Multi-part webinar course. You learn the 8 most common charting principles.
  • Webinars. Actionable and timely advice on breaking out chart patterns.

For your convenience your membership auto renews each year.

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INTERIM UPDATE – August 19, 2020

I start my research on Mondays and finalize by end of day Thursday. Friday is dedicated to putting all ideas to the report format. During the week I come across good setups and those are featured in the weekly report. However, there are those that pop during the week and is worth bringing to your attention before the week finalizes. Below are latest additions to Tech Charts watchlist that may experience breakouts over the next two days. These charts will also be included in the weekly update. (Data as of August 19, 2002, CET 21:00 PM)

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – August 15, 2020

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) resumed its uptrend. Last three month’s price action can be identified as a rising channel. Price is trying to remain inside the trend channel and so far the price remained above the 200-day average. Uptrend is intact. The 200-day moving average is forming support at 73.7 levels. Breakdown below the lower boundary of possible trend channel can result in a pullback towards the 200-day average at 73.7 levels. Volatility is low and we can expect another trend period soon. If it is a correction with the breakdown of the trend channel, it should develop fast, towards 73.7 levels. Pre-pandemic high stands at 82 levels, which is the next important resistance.

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NYFOSA AB (NYFO.ST)

Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed, emerging and frontier markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks. This blog post features from the watchlist section NYFOSA AB listed on the Stockholm Stock Exchange.

NYFOSA AB (NYFO.ST)

Nyfosa AB is a Sweden-based real estate investment company. The stock is listed on the Stockholm Stock Exchange. Price chart formed a 2 month-long rectangle with the horizontal boundary acting as strong resistance at 68.50 levels. The horizontal boundary was tested several times over the course of the chart pattern. A daily close above 70.00 levels will confirm the breakout from the 2 month-long rectangle with the possible chart pattern price target of 76.00 levels. (Data as of 12/08/2020)

 


Tech Charts Membership

By becoming a Premium Member, you’ll be able to improve your knowledge of the principles of classical charting.

With this knowledge, you can merge them with your investing system. In fact, some investors use my analyses to modify their existing style to invest more efficiently and successfully.

Get Access Now

As a Premium Member of Aksel Kibar’s Tech Charts,

You will receive:

  • Global Equities Report. Delivered weekly.
  • Classical charting principles. Learn patterns and setups.
  • Actionable information. Worldwide indices and stocks of interest.
  • Risk management advice. The important trading points of each chart.
  • Information on breakout opportunities. Identify the ones you want to take action on.
  • Video tutorials. How patterns form and why they succeed or fail.
  • Watch list alerts. As they become available so you can act quickly.
  • Breakout alerts. Usually once a week.
  • Access to everything (now and as it becomes available)
    o Reports
    o Videos and video series
  • Multi-part webinar course. You learn the 8 most common charting principles.
  • Webinars. Actionable and timely advice on breaking out chart patterns.

For your convenience your membership auto renews each year.

Get Access Now

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – August 8, 2020

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) cleared its short-term consolidation on the upside. Last three month’s price action can be identified as a rising channel. Price is trying to remain inside the trend channel and so far the price remained above the 200-day average. Uptrend is intact. The 200-day moving average is forming support at 73.3 levels. Breakdown below the lower boundary of possible trend channel can result in a pullback towards the 200-day average at 73.3 levels. Volatility is low and we can expect another trend period soon. If it is a correction with the breakdown of the trend channel, it should develop fast, towards 73.3 levels. Pre-pandemic high stands at 82 levels, which is the next important resistance.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – August 1, 2020 (REVIEW SECTION)

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is consolidating near its minor high at 77.4 levels. Last three month’s price action can be identified as a rising channel. Price is trying to remain inside the trend channel and so far the price remained above the 200-day average. 77.4 levels acted as short-term resistance. Uptrend is intact. The 200-day moving average is forming support at 73.1 levels. Breakdown below the lower boundary of possible trend channel can result in a pullback towards the 200-day average at 73.1 levels. Volatility is low and we can expect another trend period soon. If it is a correction with the breakdown of the trend channel, it should develop fast, towards 73.1 levels. Pre-pandemic high stands at 82 levels, which is the next important resistance.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – August 1, 2020 (ALERTS & WATCHLIST)

Dear Tech Charts Members,

Due to several reasons (size, end of month expanded review including more markets etc.) this week’s report will be sent out in two separate communications. Below includes the Breakout Alerts and Watchlist. Later in the day I will send out a comprehensive review of Global Markets. An e-mail will be sent out once the Review section of the report is uploaded to website.

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DR.REDDY’S LABORATORIES LTD

Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed, emerging and frontier markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks. This blog post features from the watchlist section Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Limited listed on the National Stock Exchange of India.

DR.REDDY’S LABORATORIES LTD (REDY.NS)

Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Limited is a pharmaceutical company that is engaged in providing medicines. The Company operates in three segments: Global Generics, Pharmaceutical Services and Active Ingredients (PSAI), and Proprietary Products. The stock is listed on the National Stock Exchange of India. Price chart formed a 3 month-long ascending triangle with the horizontal boundary acting as strong resistance at 4,150.00 levels. The horizontal boundary was tested several times over the course of the chart pattern. A daily close above 4,235.00 levels will confirm the breakout from the 3 month-long ascending triangle with the possible chart pattern price target of 4,650.00 levels. A possible H&S continuation chart pattern can act as launching pattern and complete at the same time as the ascending triangle. (Data as of 20/07/2020, 7:45 AM CET)

 


Tech Charts Membership

By becoming a Premium Member, you’ll be able to improve your knowledge of the principles of classical charting.

With this knowledge, you can merge them with your investing system. In fact, some investors use my analyses to modify their existing style to invest more efficiently and successfully.

Get Access Now

As a Premium Member of Aksel Kibar’s Tech Charts,

You will receive:

  • Global Equities Report. Delivered weekly.
  • Classical charting principles. Learn patterns and setups.
  • Actionable information. Worldwide indices and stocks of interest.
  • Risk management advice. The important trading points of each chart.
  • Information on breakout opportunities. Identify the ones you want to take action on.
  • Video tutorials. How patterns form and why they succeed or fail.
  • Watch list alerts. As they become available so you can act quickly.
  • Breakout alerts. Usually once a week.
  • Access to everything (now and as it becomes available)
    o Reports
    o Videos and video series
  • Multi-part webinar course. You learn the 8 most common charting principles.
  • Webinars. Actionable and timely advice on breaking out chart patterns.

For your convenience your membership auto renews each year.

Get Access Now