GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 4, 2022

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) remains below its 200-day average. The ETF is trying to hold above the minor low at 91.7 levels. The 200-day average is currently at 97.5 levels. Global equities are rebounding in a downtrend. There are strong resistances ahead. I continue to monitor the ETF for a reversal chart pattern. Upward momentum can push the ETF towards the long-term average. Too early to call for a bottom reversal at this point.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 28, 2022

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) remains below its 200-day average. Friday's price action pushed the ETF above the minor low at 91.7 levels. The 200-day average is currently at 97.7 levels. Global equities are rebounding in a downtrend. There are strong resistances ahead. I continue to monitor the ETF for a reversal chart pattern. Upward momentum can push the ETF towards the long-term average. Too early to call for a bottom reversal at this point. I will continue to take breakout signals on individual equities that complete lengthy consolidations to new highs.

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Tech Charts Year in Review – Year Five, May 2022 Webinar

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Tech Charts Year in Review. Aksel compares the before and after of charts shared with Members over the last year followed by a live Q&A. Tech Charts Year in Review – Year Five
  • A study on Chart Pattern Reliability with the available sample data over the past year.
  • Rectangle has been a reliable chart pattern with the H&S variations. Examples and studies on those reliable patterns.
  • Detailed statistics on different types of breakouts.
  • The impact of different market cycles on chart pattern opportunities.
  • Live Q&A
Live questions from Members
  1. SLIDE 5 - I only look for patterns that begin with a pivot point countering the preceding trend. However, I see on slide 5 that you've labeled the pattern beginning with two lower pivots after an uptrend. Am I being too rigid in defining my patterns? 50:55
  2. SLIDE 8 - In a Type 4 breakout, if the price reverses down and the negation level is hit, but the price then rebounds/recovers and breaks out again, why is the chart pattern destroyed? 52:20
  3. How is the breakout confirmation price calculated? 54:21 (Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, 5th Edition, Edwards and Magee) 
  4. In Peter Brandt's book "Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader: Lessons from 21 Weeks of Real Trading," he described the average duration of some classic patterns; my question is: do you have your own durations for classic chart patterns, or is the average duration universal to all classic chart patterns? 55:35 (Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader, Peter L. Brandt) 
  5. Do you take profits once a chart reaches its target, or do you let the trade run until you see signs of reversals? 56:35
  6. How many concurrent positions do you recommend a breakout trader hold? I'm reading the Mark Minervini books from your reading list, and he recommends holding no more than 4 positions (non-margined) to 8 positions (fully margined). Do you recommend similarly? 57:40
  7. I just want to make sure I understand that 1. the success rate is calculated from subjectively identified inside pattern minor price points? and hence 2. the success rate showed here has nothing to do with my trading success rate because everyone's stop level can be different? so 3. if that's the case, what's the point of calculating the success rate here unless we all use that minor point inside the pattern as a stop level? 59:03
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CRYPTOCURRENCIES – May 22, 2022

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Since the last report where we discussed breakdowns of major support levels on several pairs, cryptocurrencies have been under pressure. Many bearish chart patterns met their price objectives and several other are midway, still short of their chart pattern price targets. This issue will discuss those that still might have more downside and new pairs that can offer trends.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 21, 2022

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) remains below its 200-day average and the minor low at 91.7 levels. The 200-day average is currently at 98.5 levels. Breakdown below the minor low resumed the downtrend. 91.7 levels becomes the resistance. There is no clear bottom reversal chart pattern on daily and weekly scale price charts. During any rebound, 91.7 levels will act as resistance.

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Tech Charts Year in Review with Aksel – Thursday, May 19, 830 am mountain

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Dear Tech Charts Members,

Tech Charts Year in Review. Aksel will compare the before and after of charts shared with Members over the last year. As always, we'll end the webinar with a live Q&A.

Scheduled for: Thursday, May 19, 2022, at 8:30 am mountain (register below)

Tech Charts Year in Review – Year Five

  • A study on Chart Pattern Reliability with the available sample data over the past year.
  • Rectangle has been a reliable chart pattern with the H&S variations. Examples and studies on those reliable patterns.
  • Detailed statistics on different types of breakouts. 
  • The impact of different market cycles on chart pattern opportunities.
  • Live Q&A
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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 14, 2022

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) remains below its 200-day average and the minor low at 91.7 levels. The 200-day average is currently at 98.5 levels. Breakdown below the minor low resumed the downtrend. 91.7 levels becomes the resistance. The weekly scale price chart formed a long lower shadow with this week's close and could be the first sign of a short-term bottom. There is no clear bottom reversal chart pattern on daily and weekly scale price charts.

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CRYPTOCURRENCIES – May 9, 2022

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The last report on cryptocurrencies read make or break week for many crypto pairs. So many chart were at inflection points. These was a bullish case to be made if right shoulders developed on chart. On the other hand if they failed, there were many chart that were waiting to break down well-defined horizontal supports. Right shoulders never developed and many horizontal setups broke down. Charts below are an update on those developing downtrends and also additional fresh setups.

 

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 7, 2022

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) remains below its 200-day average. To get bullish on Global Equities, I want to see the ETF clearing the 200-day average and settling above it. Until that happens I will view this as part of larger scale complex correction. The 200-day average is currently at 99.2 levels. Breakdown below the lows can result in a continuation of the downtrend. This week the ETF closed below the minor low at 91.7. Unless we see a sharp reversal with a long white daily candle that closes above 91.7, I will expect continuation of the downtrend. A sharp reversal can result in a rebound towards the 200-day average.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – April 30, 2022

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REVIEW

The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) remains below its 200-day average. To get bullish on Global Equities, I want to see the ETF clearing the 200-day average and settling above it. Until that happens I will view this as part of larger scale complex correction. The 200-day average is currently at 99.7 levels. The ETF failed to form the right shoulder of a possible reversal which led the price to test the previous lows at 91.7 levels. Breakdown below the lows can result in a continuation of the downtrend. On the weekly scale chart, price is inside the channel and also clearly below the long-term average, exposing the ETF to further downside if the minor lows are broken down.

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