Entries by Aksel Kibar

OATS

Long-term symmetrical triangles are powerful chart patterns to trade. They have defined boundaries and breakouts from these type of consolidation patterns are usually followed by strong trend periods. Consolidation ranges are considered to be low volatility periods where price fluctuates around the moving averages. Low volatility periods are followed by high volatility periods and vice […]

COTTON

Long base formation on Cotton price might be close to completion with soft agricultural commodity breaching the 5 month-long horizontal resistance at 77.60 levels. The chart analyzes ICE Cotton May 13 futures price. Chart pattern can be defined as an ascending triangle or cup with handle formation with a round base that is spread over a 6 month […]

CHINA GDP & CHINA SSE 50 INDEX

In April 2012 I analyzed the downtrend on the Chinese GDP and the SSE 50 Index (April 13, 2012 – SSE50 Index & China GDP). Chinese equities were trending lower since the mid-2009 and the GDP growth since the beginning of 2010. Equity markets acted as a perfect leading indicator. I’ve concluded that until we see a change […]

CHINA SSE 50 INDEX

After more than 3 year-long downtrend, Chinese equity index SSE 50 is now showing signs of strength. In the last part of 2012, Chinese equities rallied sharply from three-year low levels. Sharp reversal on the SSE 50 Index first breached the long-term moving average at 1,670 levels and then broke above the downward trend line at 1,750 levels. We are […]

JAPAN NIKKEI 225

Japanese equities are rising and the Japanese Yen is weakening. These two are not very common comments when we take the Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY medium/long-term price trends into consideration. Nikkei 225 Index has been trending lower in a wide trend channel over the past 3 years. Wide swings have bounced off the boundaries of the downward trend channel […]

CORN

While equities have performed well, commodities have shown relative weakness. From the commodities, agricultural have significantly lagged the rest. The chart below analyzes Corn price over the past 3 months. Sideways consolidation is taking place above the 200-day moving average, which acted as a support for the past 3 months. Boundaries of the possible symmetrical triangle formation are 710 and 760. Failure […]

CZECH REPUBLIC PRAGUE SE INDEX

Few days back I gave POLAND WIG20 Index as an example of a 2 year-long flat range breakout. We are seeing global strength in equities and indices are breaking out of long-term consolidation patterns. Today I’m looking at Czech Republic Prague SE Index. Symmetrical triangles are usually formed as continuation patterns. However, it is always better to wait for a […]

POLAND WIG 20 INDEX

Another perfect example for a flat range breakout can be seen on the WIG 20 Index. Poland’s WIG 20 Index cleared the 2 year-long resistance at 2,450 levels. With last week’s decisive breakout above the strong resistance WIG 20 now targets 2,800-2,900 area. Technical chart pattern can be either analyzed as a rectangle or a double […]

CHF/USD

Lengthy consolidation periods are usually followed by strong breakouts. From those breakouts, flat ranges are more reliable. Though one should always be prepared for a false breakout. Friday’s price action on the CHF/USD was strong and the cross rate has clearly breached above the horizontal resistance at 1.085 levels. Since mid-September CHF/USD has been consolidating […]