1.75 levels has been long-term support for the USD/TL. In the last quarter of 2011, cross rate breached above 1.75 levels and since then price has been consolidating above this critical technical support level. Over the past week, cross rate rebounded from the horizontal support to test the year-long trend resistance at 1.80 levels. Breakout above 1.80 can […]
Here we have another soft commodity that is closer to its long-term support area. Similar to sugar, cocoa also peaked in the beginning of 2011 and since then prices have pulled back to test the lower boundary of the long-term trend channel at 2,050 levels. Finding support between 2,050 and 2,100 could help cocoa establish a new long-term uptrend. […]
Sugar price is offering a great opportunity for the long-term positions. Price is now testing the 9 year-long trend support between 17 and 18 levels. Over the past 2 years sugar price pulled back from 35 levels to the lower boundary of its long-term uptrend. RSI formed positive divergence on the weekly scale. Breakout above 20 levels will […]
Long-term symmetrical triangles are powerful chart patterns to trade. They have defined boundaries and breakouts from these type of consolidation patterns are usually followed by strong trend periods. Consolidation ranges are considered to be low volatility periods where price fluctuates around the moving averages. Low volatility periods are followed by high volatility periods and vice […]
Long base formation on Cotton price might be close to completion with soft agricultural commodity breaching the 5 month-long horizontal resistance at 77.60 levels. The chart analyzes ICE Cotton May 13 futures price. Chart pattern can be defined as an ascending triangle or cup with handle formation with a round base that is spread over a 6 month […]
In April 2012 I analyzed the downtrend on the Chinese GDP and the SSE 50 Index (April 13, 2012 – SSE50 Index & China GDP). Chinese equities were trending lower since the mid-2009 and the GDP growth since the beginning of 2010. Equity markets acted as a perfect leading indicator. I’ve concluded that until we see a change […]
After more than 3 year-long downtrend, Chinese equity index SSE 50 is now showing signs of strength. In the last part of 2012, Chinese equities rallied sharply from three-year low levels. Sharp reversal on the SSE 50 Index first breached the long-term moving average at 1,670 levels and then broke above the downward trend line at 1,750 levels. We are […]
Japanese equities are rising and the Japanese Yen is weakening. These two are not very common comments when we take the Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY medium/long-term price trends into consideration. Nikkei 225 Index has been trending lower in a wide trend channel over the past 3 years. Wide swings have bounced off the boundaries of the downward trend channel […]
While equities have performed well, commodities have shown relative weakness. From the commodities, agricultural have significantly lagged the rest. The chart below analyzes Corn price over the past 3 months. Sideways consolidation is taking place above the 200-day moving average, which acted as a support for the past 3 months. Boundaries of the possible symmetrical triangle formation are 710 and 760. Failure […]
