Entries by Aksel Kibar

CRYPTOCURRENCIES – June 22, 2025

BTCUSD challenges the short-term support at 101.5K horizontal resistance. Breakdown can result in a deeper correction, though can still keep the bullish outlook intact. ETH starts outperforming BTC in the short-term, re-test of previous lows can form a possible double bottom on the ratio.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 21, 2025

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) did a round trip after the sharp sell-off and reached its all-time highs around 124 levels. The fact that the ETF cleared its 200-day average and moved significantly above it can be analyzed long-term positive as pullbacks and consolidations are likely to find support above the 200-day. After clearing the horizontal resistance at 124, 120-124 area will act as support during any pullback. Outlook is positive for Global Equities. Given the geopolitical tensions, Global Equites can use this as a reason for pause and reversion to the mean. Breakdown below 124 levels can result in a deeper correction towards the 200-day average.  

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 14, 2025

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) did a round trip after the sharp sell-off and reached its all-time highs around 124 levels. The fact that the ETF cleared its 200-day average and moved significantly above it can be analyzed long-term positive as pullbacks and consolidations are likely to find support above the 200-day. After clearing the horizontal resistance at 124, 120-124 area will act as support during any pullback. Outlook is positive for Global Equities. Given the geopolitical tensions, Global Equites can use this as a reason for pause and reversion to the mean.  

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – June 7, 2025

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) did a round trip after the sharp sell-off and reached its all-time highs around 124 levels. The fact that the ETF cleared its 200-day average and moved significantly above it can be analyzed long-term positive as pullbacks and consolidations are likely to find support above the 200-day. This week's strength cleared the horizontal resistance at 124. 120-124 area will act as support during any pullback. Outlook is positive for Global Equities.  

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 24, 2025

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) did a round trip after the sharp sell-off and reached its all-time highs around 124 levels. The fact that the ETF cleared its 200-day average and moved significantly above it can be analyzed long-term positive as pullbacks and consolidations are likely to find support above the 200-day. I will monitor the ETF to see if it will stabilize above the long-term average in preparation of resuming higher. This can be the short breather after the ETF had a strong rebound. The breather if it forms a higher low above the long-term average in the form of a tight consolidation will increase the conviction on bullish setup, a possible H&S pattern with the neckline at 124 levels. 116.85-120 area will act as support during pullback. Outlook is positive for Global Equities.  

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Tech Charts Year in Review – Year Eight, May 2025 Webinar

Tech Charts Year in Review. Aksel compares the before and after of charts shared with Members over the last year followed by a live Q&A.

Tech Charts Year in Review – Year Eight

  • A study on Chart Pattern Reliability with the available sample data over the past year.
  • Statistically significant and reliable top 3 chart patterns, rectangle, ascending triangle and H&S continuation are covered in detail.
  • Statistics on different types of breakouts.
  • The impact of different market cycles on chart pattern opportunities.
  • Live Q&A

Live questions from Members

  1. I understand the logic of 200dma for continuation patterns; however, reversal patterns, by definition, indicate trend reversal. Do you still use the 200dma for reversal patterns? If so, why? 55:56
  2. Regarding the testing results, are they considering an entry when the price closes above the pattern confirmation level and a stop loss when the price touches the pattern negation level? Or what are the specific criteria to define a winning and losing trade? 58:44
  3. Is it weekly or daily used for breakout confirmation? 1:00:35
  4. Follow-up to question ONE - Does this dramatically reduce the number of opportunities you take for reversal patterns? 1:02:18

Recorded live 05.29.2025

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 31, 2025

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) did a round trip after the sharp sell-off and reached its all-time highs around 124 levels. The fact that the ETF cleared its 200-day average and moved significantly above it can be analyzed long-term positive as pullbacks and consolidations are likely to find support above the 200-day. I will monitor the ETF to see if it will stabilize above the long-term average in preparation of resuming higher. This can be the short breather after the ETF had a strong rebound. During the consolidation the ETF can form a possible H&S pattern with the neckline at 124 levels. 117.12-120 area will act as support during pullback. Outlook is positive for Global Equities.  

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – May 24, 2025

REVIEW


The benchmark for the Global equity markets performance, the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) did a round trip after the sharp sell-off and reached its all-time highs around 124 levels. The fact that the ETF cleared its 200-day average and moved significantly above it can be analyzed long-term positive as pullbacks and consolidations are likely to find support above the 200-day. I will monitor the ETF to see if it will stabilize above the long-term average in preparation of resuming higher. This can be the short breather after the ETF had a strong rebound. The breather if it forms a higher low above the long-term average in the form of a tight consolidation will increase the conviction on bullish setup, a possible H&S pattern with the neckline at 124 levels. 116.85-120 area will act as support during pullback. Outlook is positive for Global Equities.  

Read More