Rectangle – Bearish Reversal
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Author Archive for: Aksel Kibar
Entries by Aksel Kibar
GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 10, 2018
REVIEW
The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) found resistance at the long-term 200-day (40-week) moving average. Last two week's price action can be a pullback to the broken support levels between 71 and 71.8. Until I see a recovery above the 200-day average, I will expect the choppy downward price action to resume. Global equities are likely to move in a wide trading range in the following weeks. Strong resistance area stands between 71 and 71.8 levels.
SUPPORT & RESISTANCE
A stock (ETF, Index etc.) price is either in a trending phase or in a consolidation period. During strong trend periods prices move uninterrupted from one price level to another. During consolidations prices move in both directions without producing any meaningful or sustained price change and will form well-defined support and resistance areas on the charts. A support range represents a concentration of demand, and a resistance range represents a concentration of supply.
A resistance level is an approximate level or fairly well-defined price range, where previously advancing stock meets resistance in the form of strong selling. A support level is an approximate level or price range where a preceding decline meets support, in the form of strong buying. A possible explanation for appearance of such well-defined price boundaries in the form of support and resistance can be the fact that the public tend to remember previous levels the stock has traded.
GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – November 3, 2018
REVIEW
Strong rebound on the iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF pulled the price back to February lows. Strong resistance area stands between 70 and 71.8 levels. After a sharp drop and increase in volatility, we should expect more choppy price action resulting in a short-term consolidation. There is no chart pattern development that would suggest a short-term bottom at this stage. The ACWI ETF is trading below its long-term average.
GLOBAL X URANIUM ETF (URA)
Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed, emerging and frontier markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with […]
GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – October 27, 2018
REVIEW
The benchmark for Global equity markets performance, iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) broke down its February lows with a long weekly candle. The ACWI ETF is now clearly below its long-term 200-day moving average. February low at 69.7 levels will become the new strong resistance. Next support area for the ACWI ETF is between 63 and 65. In the short-term the daily chart needs to form some sort of a reversal chart pattern to conclude that the downtrend is over. The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is in a downtrend.
FIAT CHRYSLER AUTOMOBILES NV (FCHA.MI)
Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed, emerging and frontier markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with […]
GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – October 20, 2018
REVIEW
The iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) is trying to hold above February 2018 lows. After reversing from the horizontal resistance at 74.8, the ETF fell below its long-term average and currently is trading below the 200-day average. This week's candlestick was a "doji". It shows that price found short-term support. Failure to hold above February lows can send the ETF towards the next strong support area at 63 levels.
EEM vs. ACWI
Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed, emerging and frontier markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks. This blog post features a relative performance ratio between the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF and iShares MSCI All Country World Index ETF.
GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – October 13, 2018
REVIEW
Since the beginning of 2018, the performance between Emerging Markets and Developed Markets diverged. Emerging Markets have underperformed the Developed Markets by around 15%. Two charts below show the relative performance ratio between EEM and ACWI and also the MSCI indices, MSCI Emerging Markets Index vs. MSCI World Markets Index. You can see the fluctuations on the ratio over the years.
2016-2017 was a period of EM outperformance. In the beginning of 2018, the ratio reversed sharply and the past 10 months resulted in a massive underperformance for the Emerging Markets. We might be at an inflection point as the ratio is now testing 2016 lows. Emerging Markets might start outperforming the Developed Markets once again. (The ratio is calculated by dividing two time series EEM & ACWI and indexing it to 1 on the 1st January 2018)
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