Entries by Aksel Kibar

INDIA BSE SENSEX

Markets that breakout to all time high levels usually don’t look back. Price enters the uncharted territory where it doesn’t meet any resistance. Some breakouts fail and fall back below the resistance they breached earlier. At that point we know that something was wrong with the earlier breakout. However most of the breakouts to all time high levels are […]

U.S. DOLLAR INDEX

Friday’s move on the U.S. dollar index could be a major medium-term reversal for some of the cross rates out there. I’ve discussed the U.S. dollar index chart in my earlier updates and drew attention to the importance of the strong medium-term support at 79.5 levels. (Earlier update is here) During last week U.S. dollar […]

UK FTSE 100

If markets are going to move higher, especially in Europe, UK’s FTSE 100 index is my top candidate for a strong breakout. Index is testing 13 year-long horizontal resistance at 6,850 levels. The fact that the market hasn’t pulled back from the resistance area shows its strength and possibly its willingness to clear the multi-year resistance. […]

COTTON

Long-term charts are usually very powerful and reveal important information. Over the past four decades  cotton price fluctuated between 95 and 30 levels with the exception of two occurrences in 1995 and 2010. Breakouts from long-term consolidation ranges are usually followed by strong trend periods. Breakout above 95 will push Cotton price outside of its long-term […]

AUD/NZD

Long-term charts usually reveal important information. Historical price levels are widely followed by investors and traders. Australian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar cross-rate is now at a historical support level. This long-term support was tested for the 5th time over the past three decades. 1.05 acted as support and each time the cross rate reversed from this level […]

SILVER and COPPER

Both metals avoided sharp sell-offs by holding above critical support levels. Silver tested the strong support area between 18.3 and 18.8 for the 3rd time over the past year. Copper managed to hold above 3 levels which acted as strong support since 2012. Copper and Silver can rebound towards their long-term averages. 200-day average for […]

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Industrial metals remain to be an emerging market story. 3 year and 5 year weekly rolling correlations show high correlation between the MSCI Emerging market index and most of the industrial commodities. As expected there is also high correlation between the industrial metals. Zinc, Copper and Lead are high correlated industrial metals. 3 YEAR WEEKLY […]

U.S. GOVT. BONDS

U.S. treasury and government bond prices are completing bullish chart patterns that could resolve on the upside in the following weeks. U.S. 30-year T Bond is completing an inverse head and shoulder base and the U.S. 10 year T Note is forming a falling wedge pattern. Both chart patterns are considered to be bullish and suggest […]

DAX, NIKKEI and DJIA

For those who are not a big fan of twitter I’m posting my latest updates on global equity markets. I believe these are important charts and are worth reviewing again. Global equity markets are experiencing a correction. Long-term trends are still intact. Long-term 200-day averages will play a significant role in determining the next direction of […]

MSCI WORLD MARKETS

Global equity markets can experience a pull back. MSCI World Markets index is testing strong long-term resistance levels. A pull back towards the long-term averages would result in a reversal on the MACD too. It is still early to call for a reversal but it is also extremely important to keep an eye on this long-term […]