Entries by Aksel Kibar

Practice vs. Talent

Starting from this week, I’ll share with you some interesting books, videos and articles under the category of self-development. I believe they will have a positive impact on your analysis and trading. This is an inspiring video that will challenge the way we look at talent and practice in our lives. We can become masters of what we do by constantly practicing […]

USD/TRY

Since April Tech Charts frequently updated the USD/TRY analysis and drew attention to a weakening Lira against the U.S. dollar (Apr 22, May 13, May 28, Jun 20)  . Breakout above 1.83 levels was followed by a sharp rise towards 1.92 levels which was also breached on the upside after a short consolidation. Latest breakout from the flag […]

USD/JPY

In November 2012, Japanese yen started weakening against the U.S. dollar. Cross rate started rising from 77 levels and reached 104 levels in almost six months. This was a sharp rally and was followed by a lengthy consolidation. Price action is cyclical. It will have high volatility, trend periods that are followed by low volatility, trading ranges. […]

WTI CRUDE OIL

This will be an important week for Crude oil. WTI crude oil continues to consolidate directly above the long-term symmetrical triangle. After its  breakout above $98 levels and $104 levels, WTI crude oil formed a bullish chart pattern as part of the continuing uptrend. Short-term bullish flag is signaling a pause before the uptrend resumes. WTI should clear $109 levels to target $110-$115 area, […]

S&P GSCI (Commodity Index)

Commodities have clearly underperformed equities over the past two years. This is due to correction in metals, already weak agricultural commodities and relatively quiet energy prices. None of the commodity index components had a strong enough trend to force the S&P GSCI out of its consolidation range, though signs show that this might be changing. […]

U.S. JOBLESS CLAIMS

Year 2013 could mark the medium/long-term low for the U.S. weekly jobless claims. Over the past 4 years, jobless claims trended lower from 680K levels to 330K levels. This is a significant improvement given the magnitude of the historical swings on this economic time series data. U.S. weekly jobless claims reached an important trend support and if this trend […]

COCOA (SEP3)

Cocoa prices might be forming a short/medium-term base at the long-term trend channel support. Cocoa had sharp and wide swings over the past decade. The uptrend remained intact as it can be seen from the upward sloping trend channel. In the beginning of 2011, price reversed from the upper boundary of the trend channel at 4,000 levels and reached […]

S&P GSCI (COMMODITY INDEX)

S&P GSCI (Commodity Index) is in a clear downtrend. Well-defined downward sloping trend line acts as strong resistance at 655 levels. Over the past two years trend line acted as strong resistance and each counter trend reaction reversed from the strong trend resistance. It is now clear that a breakout above this technical level will reverse the […]