Entries by Aksel Kibar

10 YEAR U.S. TREASURY YIELDS

Yields are rising once again putting pressure on the bond market. U.S. 10 year Treasury yield doubled since mid-2012 and now it is close to strong trend resistance between 2.9-3.0 levels. 200-day moving average which is at 2.4 levels is acting as medium/long-term support. Unless 10 year U.S. yield breaks down 2.4 levels in the following weeks […]

TECH TRADE

#JAPAN #nikkei Several japanese equities have similar chart pattern. Symmetrical triangles suggest upside breakout. pic.twitter.com/zzi0gyZ3ht — Aksel Kibar, CMT (@TechCharts) October 31, 2013 #JAPAN TOYOTA INDUSTRIES (6201.T) form symmetrical triangle. Breakout above 4,500 will be bullish. pic.twitter.com/hInifpmfDf — Aksel Kibar, CMT (@TechCharts) October 31, 2013 #SINGAPORE For those who enjoy trading triangle (consolidation range) breakouts […]

COPPER

Copper prices might be forming a medium-term base at these levels. Confirmation of the base formation will be a decisive breakout above 3.4 levels. Chart pattern suggests an inverted head and shoulder might be close to completion once price clears 3.4 levels. MACD is trying to reverse from 0 levels (bullish) and price is challenging the 200 day […]

TECH TRADE

Flat range breakouts are usually powerful and are followed by strong directional move. Here are some of the candidates for a breakout… — Aksel Kibar, CMT (@TechCharts) October 26, 2013 #ASX #Australia INSURANCE AUST. (IAG.AX) breakout above 6 levels will be bullish. #ascendingtriangle pic.twitter.com/pn6W5zdTkU — Aksel Kibar, CMT (@TechCharts) October 26, 2013 #Australia INFIGEN ENERGY […]

U.S. JOBLESS CLAIMS

After four years of strength in employment figures, weekly jobless claims found support at multi-year low around 300K. Weekly jobless claims reversed from 280K-300K area in 1989, 2000 and 2006. Similar reversal might be in place as we enter the last quarter of 2013. Jobless claims already experienced a sharp rebound over the past few weeks and […]

COCOA

Cocoa moved higher after its breakout from the base formation – a cup with handle. This chart pattern is usually regarded as bullish and a breakout above the horizontal resistance suggest higher prices. Price target is calculated by adding the width of the formation to the breakout level. In the beginning of August (August 8, […]

TECH TRADE

Flat consolidation range. Breakout above 76 will be bullish. Low volatility setup. NORDSON CP (NDSN.OQ) #NASDAQ pic.twitter.com/Cg1exg4Ch4 — Aksel Kibar, CMT (@TechCharts) October 6, 2013 One more ascending triangle. Bullish above 43. THERAVANCE (THRX.OQ) #TECHTRADE #NASDAQ pic.twitter.com/6dVjilSfFr — Aksel Kibar, CMT (@TechCharts) October 6, 2013 Ascending triangle with bullish implications above 6. NEWCASTLE INVT (NCT) […]

USD/ZAR & USD/IDR

Emerging market currencies are going through challenging times as they lose ground against the U.S. dollar. After two decades of massive depreciation against the U.S. dollar (1980-2000), most of the EM currencies stabilized and started moving sideways in a wide range. Latest sell-off pushed the cross rates to test their upper boundaries. South African Rand […]