INTERIM UPDATE – October 31, 2017

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Students of charts and mainly classical charting principles have to maintain an unbiased view of  the markets. A chart pattern that is identified on a price chart should be the result of pure price action analysis. A global macro view on a commodity or news flow regarding a company can result in second guessing your analysis.  Most of the equity traders, unlike FX and commodity traders are used to looking at charts from the long side. In other words, picking opportunities that are breaking out and trending higher. Over the years, I found the method of looking at charts on an inverted scale very useful in order to challenge any biased view I might have. I believe that applying this technique will help you to overcome any bias during your analysis.

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ANADOLU EFES & ASCENDING TRIANGLE

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Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed and emerging markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks. This blog post features one of several great chart analysis that were highlighted in the watchlist section from the latest Global Equity Markets report.

 (AEFES.IS)

Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Malt Sanayii AS is a Turkey-based company, which is engaged in the production, bottling, selling and distribution of beer under a number of trademarks and also in the production, bottling, selling and distribution of sparkling and still beverages with The Coca-Cola Company trademark. The stock is listed on the Istanbul Stock Exchange. Price chart formed an 18 month-long ascending triangle with the strong horizontal boundary acting as resistance at 22.05 levels. The horizontal boundary was tested several times over the course of the chart pattern. The ascending triangle can act as a reversal chart pattern. A daily close above 22.70 levels will confirm the breakout from the bullish reversal chart pattern with the possible price target of 27.6 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – October 28, 2017

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REVIEW

The XAU is a capitalization-weighted index of thirty precious metal mining companies that has been traded on the Philadelphia Stock Exchange since 1983. As its name suggests it includes both gold and silver mining companies. In order to track gold and silver mining companies performance in an index there are several options available for investors, but the two most watched indices are: the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS (Basket of Unhedged Gold Stocks) Index (called the HUI Index) and Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index (called the XAU Index). Below chart features the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index. Also this week’s report highlights several great bearish chart setups on Silver mining equities and ETFs.

Over the past 10 months the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index has been in a sideways consolidation. The index is possibly forming a symmetrical triangle that can act as a bearish continuation chart pattern. Several bearish chart setups in the junior mining companies and ETFs suggest that mining stocks can come under selling pressure in the following weeks. The lower boundary of the 10 month-long symmetrical triangle stands at 80.3 levels. This week’s price action reached the lower boundary of the possible symmetrical triangle. I will monitor the strong support at 80.3 in the following weeks. A breakdown of the multi-month consolidation can result in a downward trend on the XAU index.

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Right Angle Ascending Traingle - Tech Charts

Ascending Triangle – Bullish Reversal

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Right angle triangles, with the hypotenuse slanting upwards from the origin of the pattern, are ascending triangles and they are bullish.

The below educational video describes how to identify a bullish ascending triangle, along with some of the characteristics of this pattern that could help you identify and take advantage of such patterns within your own personal trading.

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INDIA BSE SENSEX INDEX

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India equity benchmarks have been in a steady uptrend. For the past few months the BSE Sensex index and other equity benchmarks has been in a sideways consolidation. These short-term consolidations can prove to be bullish continuation chart patterns if resolved on the upside. On the long-term chart of BSE Sensex Index, 30K levels continue to form strong support. Long-term uptrend remains intact.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – October 21, 2017

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REVIEW

This was another week of strong global equity market performance. Benchmark for the global equity market performance, the MSCI All Country World Index ETF (ACWI.O) remains in an uptrend above its 19 month-long trend support. Both the long and short-term charts are showing steady uptrend for the ACWI. At this point there is no clear chart pattern that would suggest a reversal of the strong uptrend.

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FLAG AS A MEASURING PATTERN

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The flag forms on a mast, a nearly vertical price movement, either up or down. The length of the mast (in points) from the preceding congestion to the point where the Flag begins to form, will be found to indicate in by far the great majority of the cases the extent of the rapid price movement which proceeds from the last reversal point in the Flag. The price projection by using this half mast technique will give us the possible price target but does not call for a reversal of trend when the price objective is met.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – October 14, 2017

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REVIEW

India equity benchmarks have been in a steady uptrend. For the past few months the BSE Sensex index and other equity benchmarks has been in a sideways consolidation. These short-term consolidations can prove to be bullish continuation chart patterns if resolved on the upside. On the long-term chart of BSE Sensex Index, 30K levels continue to form strong support. Long-term uptrend remains intact. Below I featured some of the bullish chart setups on India equity ETFs that are listed on the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange.

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INTERIM UPDATE – October 12, 2017

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During a steady uptrend, pullbacks to long-term averages and to long-term trend line supports are usually good places to add to existing or enter new long positions. These pullbacks are usually a breath-taking period or a pause during the uptrend. As the pullback develops, it can either take the form of a top reversal formation or a continuation. A continuation chart pattern usually indicates the resumption of the uptrend.

There are two important chart developments on Alphabet Inc. and Johnson & Johnson that are worth mentioning. Both stocks have been in a steady uptrend. They are rising above their well-defined multi-year upward trend lines. Over the past 4 months, both equities formed a short-term sideways consolidation that can be identified as a rectangle. Given the direction of the previous trend, these rectangles can act as bullish continuation chart patterns.

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SPAIN IBEX 35 INDEX

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Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed and emerging markets, ETF’s and global equity indices. The report starts with a review section that highlights the important chart developments on global equity benchmarks. This blog post features one of several great chart analysis that were highlighted in the review section from the latest Global Equity Markets report.

It has been a volatile week for Spanish politics and the country’s financial assets. Spain’s IBEX 35 index has been trending lower since May 2017. The downtrend in the short-term formed a well-defined trend channel. During last week’s sell-off, the index rebounded from the lower boundary of the trend channel. There is no classical chart pattern that would suggest that index is finding a bottom or another chart pattern development that would signal further downside. However, two interesting candlestick patterns drew my attention which I find worth mentioning.

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