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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 23, 2017

REVIEW


Another Emerging Asia equity index broke out to new all-time highs. Philippines SE Composite index breached the 8,125 level after moving in a 2 year-long, wide trading range between 6,500 and 8,125 levels. The equity benchmark has been in a steady uptrend for the past year. Last two week's price action cleared the strong horizontal resistance and pushed the index to uncharted territory. Once a strong resistance, 8,125 level now acts as support. As long as the index holds above that level we will expect positive momentum to continue in the Philippine Stock Exchange. An efficient way to take advantage of the recent bullish technical development in the Emerging Asian country is through iShares MSCI Philippines ETF (EPHE.K) that is listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The chart below reviews the iShares MSCI Philippines ETF.

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PREMATURE & FALSE BREAKOUTS

Below two paragraphs are taken from Peter L. Brandt's Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader - Lessons from 21 weeks of real trading.

"A premature breakout is different from an out of line movement in the sense that a premature breakout can close outside of a predrawn boundary line and even spend several days in breakout mode. Prices then return back to the geometric pattern. However, the initial breakout was only a harbinger of things to come, and within a few weeks a genuine breakout occurs. I call these subsequent breakouts secondary breakouts or pattern recompletions." - Ch 3, page 38, Identifying the trades and the trading vocabulary

"Unlike the premature breakout, which is followed by a genuine breakout in the same direction, the false breakout results in prices either developing a much larger pattern or strongly moving in the opposite direction. Some traders refer to false breakouts to the downside as a bear trap and false upside breakouts as a bull trap. This means that traders who normally position themselves in the direction of the initial price thrust get stuck on the wrong side of the market." - Ch 3, page 40, Identifying the trades and the trading vocabulary

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – September 16, 2017

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Global equity markets continue to remain in a steady uptrend. iShares MSCI All Country World Index, a benchmark for global equity market performance, continued to hold above its multi month-long upward trend line. The minor low and the upward sloping trend line are forming support at 66.15 levels. Uptrend is intact.

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ROYAL DUTCH SHELL

Every week Tech Charts Global Equity Markets report features some of the well-defined, mature classical chart patterns under a lengthy watchlist and the chart pattern breakout signals that took place during that week. Global Equity Markets report covers single stocks from developed and emerging markets, ETF's and global equity indices. The main focus of the weekly report is to bring member's attention some of the best examples of classical charting. Chart patterns that are likely to resolve in a directional move. This blog post highlights one of several great chart setups from the latest Global Equity Markets report.

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC (RDSa)

The Royal Dutch Shell plc explores for crude oil and natural gas around the world, both in conventional fields and from sources, such as tight rock, shale and coal formations. The stock is listed in European exchanges as well as the New York Stock Exchange. The chart below shows the New York Stock Exchange listing. Price chart formed a year-long ascending triangle with the strong horizontal resistance standing at 56.5 levels. The stock once again reversed from the lower boundary of its chart pattern. A daily close above 58 levels will confirm the breakout from the year-long ascending triangle with a possible price target of 67 levels.

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – July 29, 2017

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Swiss Market Index is possibly preparing for a breakout from its 2 month-long sideways consolidation. Last 2 month's price action can be identified as a symmetrical triangle and it can act as a bullish continuation. The upper boundary of the triangle stands as resistance at 9,080 levels. Symmetrical triangle possible chart pattern price target stands at 9,500 levels. Swiss benchmark equity index performed better than its European peers. This week's report features three different bullish chart developments on the Swiss financial stocks. Swiss Market Index ETF is available in local (CHF) currency via iShares SMI ETF that is listed on the Swiss Exchange. Also, a USD denominated ETF is listed on the New York Stock Exchange via iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF (EWL).

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GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS – July 15, 2017

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Global equities had a strong performance led by Emerging Market equities and mainly Chinese Large-caps. MSCI Emerging Markets Index breached its decade-long trend line resistance at 1,020 levels. Tech Charts Global Equity Markets reports drew attention to the developing strength in Emerging Asia equities. Following the strong performance of S.Korea, Taiwan, India and Philippines, Chinese equities are also joining the list. An interim update was sent out during the week discussing the strong breakout on the Ishares China Large Cap ETF (FXI). Below charts feature the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (Price index in USD) and the New York Stock Exchange listed iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM).

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